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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Muzo — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Muzo / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15480

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Muzo / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-f5ef0b2028d672c6437bb920
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • CONSTRUYENDO CON AMOR39.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U20.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS20.2%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE10.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN8.2%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO1.9%
Results for event-4792013b01c44a59b960187f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CONSTRUYENDO CON AMOR · Ximena Elizabeth Castañeda De Molina20231028colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,09539.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Maria Dohenyz Sacristan Carrillo20050002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,09820.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Ruby Mery Murillo Navarro20130002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,07920.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Jose Leonardo Martinez Sanchez20130001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202353510%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN · Jose Giraldo Bohorquez Santana19900001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234368.2%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · William Alexander Paez Avila20050001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231011.9%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE MUZO-BOY. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL56.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS40.2%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI3.2%
Results for event-0441dee8f69bf620a79133ce
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE MUZO-BOY. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL · Neicer Albeiro Susa Sotelo20190083colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,77356.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Ruby Mery Murillo Navarro20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,96940.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Hugo Edubin Garzon Gomez19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/20191553.2%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE MUZO. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U61.6%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO38.4%
Results for event-0ef2ab1b68b62d47972b1e04
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE MUZO. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U · Elin Jose Bohorquez Ariza20150102colombia/S8164286948/20152,70661.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Fredy Mauricio Ordoñez Espitia18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151,68538.4%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

7.780–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=18.656437125748507, oldest_gap=23.25210658164427, previous_gap=16.418215233816625

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.45percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,20.54640718562874,0,10.011227544910179,0,0,20.190868263473053,1.8899700598802396,0,47.36152694610779],[0,0,0,0,0,0,3.1652031856238514,40.20829079027976,0,0,56.626506024096386],[38.373946709177865,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,61.626053290822135]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

43.37percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,20.54640718562874,0,10.011227544910179,0,0,20.190868263473053,1.8899700598802396,0,47.36152694610779],[0,0,0,0,0,0,3.1652031856238514,40.20829079027976,0,0,56.626506024096386],[38.373946709177865,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,61.626053290822135]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

37.91percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,20.54640718562874,0,10.011227544910179,0,0,20.190868263473053,1.8899700598802396,0,47.36152694610779],[0,0,0,0,0,0,3.1652031856238514,40.20829079027976,0,0,56.626506024096386],[38.373946709177865,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,61.626053290822135]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Muzo — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15480. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.