Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Mongui — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Mongui / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15466

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Mongui / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-7d9be44eaee8dd6740048e0a
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO25.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U24.5%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO21.6%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE21.4%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD6.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO1.1%
Results for event-438a3f7a44eedc1685165f39
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Edison Fabian Patiño Siabatto18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202378325%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Martha Patricia Acero Arguello20050002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202376724.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Segundo Anatolio Pedraza Parada20030001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202367621.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Victor Hugo Siabato Caceres20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202367221.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD · Libardo Alonso Hurtado Alarcon20200001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232056.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Jose Luis Ladino Arguello18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023331.1%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE62.2%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE MONGUI-BOY. MOVIMIENTO MAIS - PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "UNIDOS PARA AVANZAR"18.0%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE17.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U2.5%
Results for event-9ee8d74da8d23da685bd19eb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Oswaldo Perez Quiroz20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,86662.2%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE MONGUI-BOY. MOVIMIENTO MAIS - PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "UNIDOS PARA AVANZAR" · Nelson Edgardo Gutierrez Silva20191819colombia/S67eb704c85/201953918%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Rafael Alonso Gomez Melo20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/201951917.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Carmen Luisa Barrera Carrero20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019752.5%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE MONGUI. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL51.0%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO49.0%
Results for event-e82ace41fe9105558124744b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE MONGUI. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL · Henry Arguello Rincon20150101colombia/S8164286948/20151,41351%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Victor Hugo Siabato Caceres18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151,35849%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

31.10–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.5102040816326543, oldest_gap=1.984843016961392, previous_gap=44.248082694231414

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

73.66percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[24.96811224489796,1.052295918367347,24.457908163265305,21.556122448979593,0,21.428571428571427,0,0,0,0,6.536989795918367],[0,0,2.5008336112037344,0,62.22074024674892,17.305768589529844,0,0,0,0,17.972657552517507],[49.007578491519304,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,50.992421508480696]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

82.03percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[24.96811224489796,1.052295918367347,24.457908163265305,21.556122448979593,0,21.428571428571427,0,0,0,0,6.536989795918367],[0,0,2.5008336112037344,0,62.22074024674892,17.305768589529844,0,0,0,0,17.972657552517507],[49.007578491519304,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,50.992421508480696]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

77.84percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[24.96811224489796,1.052295918367347,24.457908163265305,21.556122448979593,0,21.428571428571427,0,0,0,0,6.536989795918367],[0,0,2.5008336112037344,0,62.22074024674892,17.305768589529844,0,0,0,0,17.972657552517507],[49.007578491519304,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,50.992421508480696]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Mongui — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15466. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.