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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Miraflores — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Miraflores / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15455

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Miraflores / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-8c45834f67472e1b625ba92a
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • ALIANZA POR MIRAFLORES49.2%
  • MIRAFLORES RESPONSABILIDAD DE TODOS35.9%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE15.0%
Results for event-6b74de0702c92f6b7622c1cf
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA POR MIRAFLORES · Ledys Soraya Vera Monroy20230071colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,88049.2%UnknownRecorded
MIRAFLORES RESPONSABILIDAD DE TODOS · Jorge Luis Rodriguez Vega20231533colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,10235.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Rommel Rolando Roldan Ramos20180046colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202387615%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE MIRAFLORES-BOY. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - "MIRAFLORES PROGRESA MAS"52.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO24.2%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE MIRAFLORES-BOY. PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "ALCALDIA MIRAFLORES BOYACA"23.7%
Results for event-4b0df5cade12e31c977ed2a9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE MIRAFLORES-BOY. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - "MIRAFLORES PROGRESA MAS" · Fredy Alexander Holguin Ruiz20191817colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,91752.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Nelson Hernando Roa Rubio18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,35724.2%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE MIRAFLORES-BOY. PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "ALCALDIA MIRAFLORES BOYACA" · Ledys Soraya Vera Monroy20191818colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,32623.7%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U46.7%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE MIRAFLORES. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE31.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO21.7%
Results for event-1b1082e3a383a7e93b4bf841
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Willinthon Jaime Alfonso Prieto20050002colombia/S8164286948/20152,49046.7%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE MIRAFLORES. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE · Fredy Alexander Holguin Ruiz20150099colombia/S8164286948/20151,68531.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Jose Salomon Perilla Baca18480001colombia/S8164286948/20151,15821.7%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

10.820–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=13.280983270740869, oldest_gap=15.094693418338647, previous_gap=27.857142857142858

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,24.232142857142858,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,75.76785714285714],[0,21.713857116069754,46.690418151134445,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,31.595724732795798]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

46.69percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,24.232142857142858,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,75.76785714285714],[0,21.713857116069754,46.690418151134445,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,31.595724732795798]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,24.232142857142858,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,75.76785714285714],[0,21.713857116069754,46.690418151134445,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,31.595724732795798]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Miraflores — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15455. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.