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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Macanal — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Macanal / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15425

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Macanal / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-ee61ea96ac30bf19079c5bef
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U55.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN28.9%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO12.8%
  • COALICION ARANDO FUTURO POR MACANAL2.9%
Results for event-6208736841e63afd077559f3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Leidy Patricia Cano Avila20050002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,52355.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN · Andres Felipe Vargas Martinez19900001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202379428.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Angelo Octavio Bohorquez Bernal18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202335312.8%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ARANDO FUTURO POR MACANAL · Edna Milena Avila Bohorquez20230472colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023812.9%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE49.2%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO36.4%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE14.4%
Results for event-6c3295caf4743f497ad02775
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Javier Andres Solano Rojas20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,25549.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Delmar Leonardo Roa Patiño18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/201993036.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · German Danilo Salguero Abril20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/201936814.4%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO56.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U28.7%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI11.6%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE3.7%
Results for event-da5e249f59a7a0eb1fbe1cd2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Nabor Felipe Londoño Gordillo18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151,38956%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Javier Andres Solano Rojas20050002colombia/S8164286948/201571228.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Jorge Eliecer Garzon Reyna19910006colombia/S8164286948/201528911.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Fernando Augusto Diaz Saenz20130001colombia/S8164286948/2015913.7%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=26.49945474372955, oldest_gap=27.287384119306733, previous_gap=12.730121425773596

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

87.17percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[12.831697564521992,0,55.36168665939658,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,31.806615776081426],[36.427732079905994,0,0,0,49.15785350567959,14.414414414414415,0,0,0,0,0],[55.98548972188634,0,28.698105602579606,0,3.667875856509472,0,11.648528819024587,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

59.9percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[12.831697564521992,0,55.36168665939658,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,31.806615776081426],[36.427732079905994,0,0,0,49.15785350567959,14.414414414414415,0,0,0,0,0],[55.98548972188634,0,28.698105602579606,0,3.667875856509472,0,11.648528819024587,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

73.54percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[12.831697564521992,0,55.36168665939658,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,31.806615776081426],[36.427732079905994,0,0,0,49.15785350567959,14.414414414414415,0,0,0,0,0],[55.98548972188634,0,28.698105602579606,0,3.667875856509472,0,11.648528819024587,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Macanal — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15425. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.