Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Villa De Leiva — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Villa De Leiva / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15407

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Villa De Leiva / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-2ba131482d354d7c96b232dc
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION AMOR POR VILLA DE LEYVA52.0%
  • PRESENTES POR UN FUTURO SEGURO31.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U9.8%
  • COALICION DE LA ESPERANZA5.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO1.9%
Results for event-6e6ad8135e464d6f2fc491cd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION AMOR POR VILLA DE LEYVA · Victor Alfonso Gamboa Chaparro20230470colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20235,00352%UnknownRecorded
PRESENTES POR UN FUTURO SEGURO · Juan Evangelista Farfan Corzo20231798colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,98631%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Jose Demetrio Montañez20050002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20239419.8%UnknownRecorded
COALICION DE LA ESPERANZA · Johanna Esperanza Cogollos Amador20230744colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20235035.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO · Leonel Ramiro Awazacko Martinez19790001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231871.9%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE36.2%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE VILLA DE LEYVA-BOY. PARTIDO LIBERAL - ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "TODOS UNIDOS VILLA DE LEYVA"32.7%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE VILLA DE LEYVA-BOY. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA ADA - "VILLA DE LEYVA NOS UNE"21.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U4.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO3.6%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES1.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS1.0%
Results for event-bbccae13561d0bd63fd1f155
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Josue Javier Castellanos Morales20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,24836.2%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE VILLA DE LEYVA-BOY. PARTIDO LIBERAL - ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "TODOS UNIDOS VILLA DE LEYVA" · Victor Alfonso Gamboa Chaparro20191814colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,93532.7%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE VILLA DE LEYVA-BOY. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA ADA - "VILLA DE LEYVA NOS UNE" · Fabian Camilo Igua Robles20191277colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,89621.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Jorge Eliecer Cortes Castro20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/20193574%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Miguel Antonio Buitrago Neira19910001colombia/S67eb704c85/20193253.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES · Luis Orlando Nieto Cartagena20170001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191231.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Yuber Castellanos Prieto20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019901%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U35.4%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE VILLA DE LEIVA-BOY. MOVIMIENTO SIGNIFICATIVO DE CIUDADANOS TODOS POR VILLA DE LEIVA Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE22.9%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE13.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO12.9%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE VILLA DE LEIVA-BOY. PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE11.8%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO3.6%
Results for event-9f4c2885db3456c34778e583
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Victor Hugo Forero Sanchez20050002colombia/S8164286948/20152,69335.4%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE VILLA DE LEIVA-BOY. MOVIMIENTO SIGNIFICATIVO DE CIUDADANOS TODOS POR VILLA DE LEIVA Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Josue Javier Castellanos Morales20150096colombia/S8164286948/20151,74022.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Carlos Eduardo Bermudez Ruget20130001colombia/S8164286948/20151,02213.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Victor Alfonso Gamboa Chaparro18480001colombia/S8164286948/201597812.9%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE VILLA DE LEIVA-BOY. PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE · Juan Evangelista Farfan Corzo20150097colombia/S8164286948/201590011.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Albert Dario Estupiñan Rodriguez18490002colombia/S8164286948/20152753.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

25.60–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=20.966735966735968, oldest_gap=12.526288117770765, previous_gap=3.4878537998662793

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40.82percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,9.781704781704782,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,90.21829521829522],[0,0,3.9781591263650546,0,0,36.193447737909516,0,1.0028972587474927,0,3.621573434365946,55.20392244261199],[3.614616193480547,12.854889589905362,35.39695057833859,0,13.433228180862251,0,0,0,0,0,34.700315457413254]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

61.32percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,9.781704781704782,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,90.21829521829522],[0,0,3.9781591263650546,0,0,36.193447737909516,0,1.0028972587474927,0,3.621573434365946,55.20392244261199],[3.614616193480547,12.854889589905362,35.39695057833859,0,13.433228180862251,0,0,0,0,0,34.700315457413254]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

51.07percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,9.781704781704782,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,90.21829521829522],[0,0,3.9781591263650546,0,0,36.193447737909516,0,1.0028972587474927,0,3.621573434365946,55.20392244261199],[3.614616193480547,12.854889589905362,35.39695057833859,0,13.433228180862251,0,0,0,0,0,34.700315457413254]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Villa De Leiva — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15407. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.