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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

La Victoria — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · La Victoria / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15401

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Known 2025-05-04 special/repeat event; final outcome and annulment/succession status remain unverified.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
La Victoria / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-8baaf4220637aec3b56fe95d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2025-05-04

Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established · unknown

    No rows.

    2023-10-29

    Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

    • UNIDOS SOMOS MAS50.5%
    • JUNTOS A RECONSTRUIR LA VICTORIA49.5%
    Results for event-40fc15bb2a2c5703c17442fc
    Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
    UNIDOS SOMOS MAS · Alcides Florido Pabon20232272colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202368450.5%UnknownRecorded
    JUNTOS A RECONSTRUIR LA VICTORIA · Cesar Eduardo Palacios Florido20231368colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202367049.5%UnknownRecorded

    2019-10-27

    Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

    • COALICION ALCALDIA DE LA VICTORIA-BOY. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - PARTIDO LIBERAL Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - "UNIDOS POR UNA VICTORIA PROSPERA Y SOLIDARIA"50.8%
    • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE49.2%
    Results for event-5a20f498ecd5cff242095db9
    Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
    COALICION ALCALDIA DE LA VICTORIA-BOY. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - PARTIDO LIBERAL Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - "UNIDOS POR UNA VICTORIA PROSPERA Y SOLIDARIA" · Leonardo Vega Bustos20191813colombia/S67eb704c85/201967450.8%UnknownRecorded
    PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Cesar Eduardo Palacios Florido20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/201965449.2%UnknownRecorded

    Other events (not selected cycles)

    • 2015-10-25 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

    4. Competition and volatility

    competition index

    Withheld

    Unknown0–100 historical closeness

    Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

    Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Known 2025-05-04 special/repeat event; final outcome and annulment/succession status remain unverified.

    Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=1.506024096385545, previous_gap=1.0339734121122603

    pedersen volatility

    Withheld volatility

    Unknownpercentage points

    Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

    Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

    Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,[0,0,0,0,49.24698795180723,0,0,0,0,0,50.75301204819277]]

    pedersen volatility

    Withheld volatility

    Unknownpercentage points

    Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

    Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

    Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,[0,0,0,0,49.24698795180723,0,0,0,0,0,50.75301204819277]]

    pedersen volatility

    Withheld volatility

    Unknownpercentage points

    Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

    Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

    Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,[0,0,0,0,49.24698795180723,0,0,0,0,0,50.75301204819277]]

    Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

    5. Officeholder evidence

    Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

    No officeholder observation supplied.

    6. Polling context

    No local poll supplied.

    National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

    7. Unresolved issues and sources

    Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Known 2025-05-04 special/repeat event; final outcome and annulment/succession status remain unverified. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    • unresolved event · open

      Actual-event sequence interrupted: Known special/repeated event joined; primary final certificate and relationship to ordinary return still pending. Competition/volatility not filled from an older event instead.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “La Victoria — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15401. Sources: colombia--url-aba70c0f4462118b105baba0, colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--S6a212a80d3b0, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.