Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Jerico — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Jerico / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15368

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Jerico / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-89f858879e2af07961542b5b
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO74.0%
  • PARA QUE JERICO, VUELVA A FLORECER23.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO2.5%
Results for event-f9d39b73d79df1484e77ca81
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Mario Edilberto Siabato Rincon18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,91474%UnknownRecorded
PARA QUE JERICO, VUELVA A FLORECER · Blanca Isabel Rincon Silva20231687colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202360723.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Giovanni Daza Pinzon18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023642.5%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U51.5%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO48.5%
Results for event-94f8f47f352453150dc36d4a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Mayerly Baez Merchan20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,34051.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jose Ignacio Camacho Siabato18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,26048.5%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U48.6%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO25.9%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE25.4%
Results for event-8fdb5ecda670dbfd40660fd8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Carlos Arturo Cuevas Gomez20050002colombia/S8164286948/20151,17548.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Orlando Pelayo Murillo18490002colombia/S8164286948/201562725.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Mario Edilberto Siabato Rincon20130001colombia/S8164286948/201561525.4%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=50.560928433268856, oldest_gap=22.67273479520066, previous_gap=3.07692307692308

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

51.54percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[74.04255319148936,2.4758220502901356,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,23.4816247582205],[48.46153846153846,0,51.53846153846154,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],[25.941249482829953,0,48.613984278030614,0,25.44476623913943,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

25.44percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[74.04255319148936,2.4758220502901356,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,23.4816247582205],[48.46153846153846,0,51.53846153846154,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],[25.941249482829953,0,48.613984278030614,0,25.44476623913943,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

38.49percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[74.04255319148936,2.4758220502901356,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,23.4816247582205],[48.46153846153846,0,51.53846153846154,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],[25.941249482829953,0,48.613984278030614,0,25.44476623913943,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Jerico — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15368. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.