Office briefing
Guican — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Guican / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15332
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Guican / Boyaca
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-d1ddff885859102caeba2325
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- ES CON HECHOS, NO CON PALABRAS43.6%
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO42.7%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO10.4%
- MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS2.8%
- INDEPENDIENTES0.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES CON HECHOS, NO CON PALABRAS · Carlos Andres Cocunubo Blanco | 20231191colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 912 | 43.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · John Jaiver Blanco Lopez | 20030001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 894 | 42.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Oscar Eduardo Cocunubo Carreño | 18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 218 | 10.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Nelson Ricardo Riaño Cocunubo | 20130002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 58 | 2.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| INDEPENDIENTES · Roberto Arango Vargas | 20190087colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 12 | 0.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE GUICAN-BOY. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "UNIDOS POR GUICAN"49.4%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO41.6%
- MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS7.7%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI1.1%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA0.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE GUICAN-BOY. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "UNIDOS POR GUICAN" · Juan De Jesus Estupiñan Perez | 20190436colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 991 | 49.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Salomon Muñoz Martinez | 18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 835 | 41.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Francisco Javier Vargas Estupiñan | 20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 154 | 7.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Roberto Arango Vargas | 19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 22 | 1.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Diego Ricardo Lizarazo Jimenez | 20180047colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 5 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO49.4%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE47.7%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO2.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · John Jaiver Blanco Lopez | 20030001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 991 | 49.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Juan De Jesus Estupiñan Perez | 20130001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 958 | 47.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Myriam Yaneth Borja Zambrano | 18490002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 59 | 2.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI84.940–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.8595988538681922, oldest_gap=1.6434262948207206, previous_gap=7.7727952167414
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility42.69percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[10.410697230181471,0,0,42.693409742120345,0,0,0,2.76981852913085,0,0,44.126074498567334],[41.60438465371201,0,0,0,0,0,1.096163428001993,7.673143996013951,0,0,49.62630792227205],[2.9382470119521913,0,0,49.352589641434264,47.70916334661354,0,0,0,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility97.06percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[10.410697230181471,0,0,42.693409742120345,0,0,0,2.76981852913085,0,0,44.126074498567334],[41.60438465371201,0,0,0,0,0,1.096163428001993,7.673143996013951,0,0,49.62630792227205],[2.9382470119521913,0,0,49.352589641434264,47.70916334661354,0,0,0,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility69.88percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[10.410697230181471,0,0,42.693409742120345,0,0,0,2.76981852913085,0,0,44.126074498567334],[41.60438465371201,0,0,0,0,0,1.096163428001993,7.673143996013951,0,0,49.62630792227205],[2.9382470119521913,0,0,49.352589641434264,47.70916334661354,0,0,0,0,0,0]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Guican — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15332. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.