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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Guayata — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Guayata / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15325

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Guayata / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-ce28a4a95c942bd8630dafeb
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • GUAYATA SOMOS TODOS52.1%
  • CON MAYERLY ALCALDESA GUAYATA PROGRESA47.9%
Results for event-0020b65ccf01bba0fc004fa7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
GUAYATA SOMOS TODOS · Julio Alberto Romero Camacho20231314colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,60352.1%UnknownRecorded
CON MAYERLY ALCALDESA GUAYATA PROGRESA · Mayerly Ruiz Garcia20230997colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,47547.9%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO40.5%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE GUAYATA-BOY. PARTIDO DE LA U - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE - "ALCALDIA DE GUAYATA"36.3%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE23.3%
Results for event-dec9a78287747a2315af8a6d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · John Santiago Ruiz Alfonso18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,16040.5%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE GUAYATA-BOY. PARTIDO DE LA U - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE - "ALCALDIA DE GUAYATA" · Julio Alberto Romero Camacho20190435colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,03936.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Mayerly Ruiz Garcia20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/201966723.3%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U58.7%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO41.3%
Results for event-5a99b5f4234d70fee769d85c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Benjamin Edilson Piñeros Alfonso20050002colombia/S8164286948/20151,61758.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · John Santiago Ruiz Alfonso18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151,13841.3%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

72.50–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.158544509421702, oldest_gap=17.386569872958262, previous_gap=4.221912072575023

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[40.47452896022331,0,0,0,23.272854152128403,0,0,0,0,0,36.25261688764829],[41.30671506352087,0,58.69328493647913,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

59.53percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[40.47452896022331,0,0,0,23.272854152128403,0,0,0,0,0,36.25261688764829],[41.30671506352087,0,58.69328493647913,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[40.47452896022331,0,0,0,23.272854152128403,0,0,0,0,0,36.25261688764829],[41.30671506352087,0,58.69328493647913,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Guayata — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15325. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.