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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Guateque — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Guateque / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15322

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Guateque / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-072fa758d6eb1f2bf169b340
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COMPROMISO POR GUATEQUE45.2%
  • FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO26.5%
  • GUATEQUE NOS UNE16.7%
  • DESARROLLO, COMPROMISO, EQUIDAD4.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS3.6%
  • G.S.C LIGA DE GOBERNANTES ANTICORRUPCION1.2%
  • CREEMOS1.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA0.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN0.4%
Results for event-63a1963adffe9834e9bd3334
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COMPROMISO POR GUATEQUE · David Francisco Morales Castillo20230971colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,64145.2%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO · Juan Sastoque Medina20150388colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,55226.5%UnknownRecorded
GUATEQUE NOS UNE · John Alejandro Roa Gomez20231311colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202397716.7%UnknownRecorded
DESARROLLO, COMPROMISO, EQUIDAD · Mauro Sebastian Roa Camargo20231092colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232654.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Andres Jose Guataquira Romero20130002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232083.6%UnknownRecorded
G.S.C LIGA DE GOBERNANTES ANTICORRUPCION · Willmar Ariel Peralta Moreno20191578colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023721.2%UnknownRecorded
CREEMOS · Wilman Alfonso Sanchez20150003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023631.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA · Ruben Sanchez Niño19900002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023490.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN · Carlos Julio Lopez Ruiz19900001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023210.4%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE GUATEQUE-BOY. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - "GUATEQUE RAZONES PARA CONFIAR"61.8%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE GUATEQUE-BOY. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE - "PACTO POR GUATEQUE"19.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U18.0%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA1.1%
Results for event-d286fea527aa3f4d1c981cd9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE GUATEQUE-BOY. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - "GUATEQUE RAZONES PARA CONFIAR" · Ivan Camilo Camero Alfonso20190433colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,39861.8%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE GUATEQUE-BOY. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE - "PACTO POR GUATEQUE" · John Alejandro Roa Gomez20190434colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,05019.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Luis Alejandro Sastoque Leiva20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/201998918%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA · Mauricio Humberto Roa Bernal20190033colombia/S67eb704c85/2019621.1%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE31.7%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO24.9%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO13.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U13.4%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO12.4%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE2.4%
  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA1.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO0.3%
Results for event-a4869e83a665504a489a16fe
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Edwin Crisanto Bohorquez Mora20090002colombia/S8164286948/20151,73531.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Ivan Camilo Camero Alfonso20030001colombia/S8164286948/20151,36624.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Cesar Augusto Contreras Niño18480001colombia/S8164286948/201574813.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Vidal Carranza Guatavita20050002colombia/S8164286948/201573213.4%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Andres Jose Guataquira Romero20050001colombia/S8164286948/201567912.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Carlos Jairo Perez Cuadros20130001colombia/S8164286948/20151312.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Julio Alberto Vargas Rodriguez20090001colombia/S8164286948/2015681.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Deogracias Enrique Romero Mesa19910001colombia/S8164286948/2015180.3%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=18.62175102599179, oldest_gap=6.737264926054408, previous_gap=42.69867248590653

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

17.99percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,3.556771545827633,0,0,96.44322845417236],[0,0,17.985088197854154,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,82.01491180214585],[0,13.657111557421945,13.364980828920942,24.940660945773235,2.391820339601972,31.677925871827643,0,0,12.397297790761366,0.3286470695636297,1.241555596129268]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

85.39percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,3.556771545827633,0,0,96.44322845417236],[0,0,17.985088197854154,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,82.01491180214585],[0,13.657111557421945,13.364980828920942,24.940660945773235,2.391820339601972,31.677925871827643,0,0,12.397297790761366,0.3286470695636297,1.241555596129268]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

51.69percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,3.556771545827633,0,0,96.44322845417236],[0,0,17.985088197854154,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,82.01491180214585],[0,13.657111557421945,13.364980828920942,24.940660945773235,2.391820339601972,31.677925871827643,0,0,12.397297790761366,0.3286470695636297,1.241555596129268]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Guateque — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15322. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.