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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Floresta — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Floresta / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15276

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Floresta / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-b00674b2b671330a2654e256
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • SOMOS ESPERANZA66.2%
  • PARTIDO DE LA U-PARTIDO EN MARCHA27.3%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO4.8%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO1.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS0.1%
Results for event-0296e4959d5fa9bd2d9ef369
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
SOMOS ESPERANZA · Luis Mario Vargas Bernal20231972colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,85166.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE LA U-PARTIDO EN MARCHA · Jeison Julian Moreno Vargas20230324colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202376427.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Fabio Alonso Aguilar Gomez18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231344.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jaime Arturo Saavedra Peñalosa18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023411.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Rosa Amanda Herrera Leon20130002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202340.1%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE65.1%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE FLORESTA-BOY. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL34.7%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE FLORESTA-BOY. PARTIDO DE LA U Y MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS0.2%
Results for event-61ec02de5a3318ae270f43a2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Wilmar Julian Rincon Mariño20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,57865.1%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE FLORESTA-BOY. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL · Jaime Arturo Saavedra Peñalosa20190149colombia/S67eb704c85/201984034.7%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE FLORESTA-BOY. PARTIDO DE LA U Y MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Juan Carlos Torres Olivares20190150colombia/S67eb704c85/201960.2%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO55.6%
  • SI HAY CAMPO PARA TODOS31.9%
  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA9.8%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE2.6%
Results for event-73afce96edaab318d7ef7dfb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Luis Mario Vargas Bernal18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151,30555.6%UnknownRecorded
SI HAY CAMPO PARA TODOS · Wilmar Julian Rincon Mariño20150090colombia/S8164286948/201574931.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Amalia Jacqueline Barbosa Granados20090001colombia/S8164286948/20152319.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Jose Joaquin Torres Barrera20130001colombia/S8164286948/2015622.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=38.90479599141017, oldest_gap=23.689816787388153, previous_gap=30.445544554455445

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

65.1percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[1.467430207587688,4.795991410164638,0,0,0,0,0,0.14316392269148176,0,0,93.59341445955619],[0,0,0,0,0,65.0990099009901,0,0,0,0,34.9009900990099],[55.602897315722196,0,0,0,2.641670217298679,0,0,0,0,0,41.75543246697912]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

65.1percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[1.467430207587688,4.795991410164638,0,0,0,0,0,0.14316392269148176,0,0,93.59341445955619],[0,0,0,0,0,65.0990099009901,0,0,0,0,34.9009900990099],[55.602897315722196,0,0,0,2.641670217298679,0,0,0,0,0,41.75543246697912]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

65.1percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[1.467430207587688,4.795991410164638,0,0,0,0,0,0.14316392269148176,0,0,93.59341445955619],[0,0,0,0,0,65.0990099009901,0,0,0,0,34.9009900990099],[55.602897315722196,0,0,0,2.641670217298679,0,0,0,0,0,41.75543246697912]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Floresta — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15276. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.