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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Cucaita — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Cucaita / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15224

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Cucaita / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-8a4e7f16381bbd9a7261d10e
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA49.4%
  • PCC-ASI-CUCAITA46.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO4.5%
Results for event-8ea0dd78997b5b45619387e8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Marcos Daniel Borda Parra19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,38449.4%UnknownRecorded
PCC-ASI-CUCAITA · Fabian Antonio Castellanos Niño20230305colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,29346.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Hernan Dario Parra Suarez18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231264.5%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO36.6%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA23.1%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE CUCAITA-BOY. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "UNIDOS POR EL MEDIO AMBIENTE Y EL DESARROLLO DEL CAMPO "21.0%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI14.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO3.8%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE CUCAITA-BOY. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE - "CUCAITA CON VISIÓN OBRAS Y DESARROLLO PARA TODOS"1.4%
Results for event-8d4cba511aae2a546d96f221
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jose Moises Castillo Duarte18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,00436.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA · Marcos Daniel Borda Parra20190033colombia/S67eb704c85/201963223.1%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE CUCAITA-BOY. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "UNIDOS POR EL MEDIO AMBIENTE Y EL DESARROLLO DEL CAMPO " · Fabian Antonio Castellanos Niño20191791colombia/S67eb704c85/201957621%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Enid Margaret Ovalle Salazar19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/201938614.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Nelson Enrique Vargas Gil18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191043.8%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE CUCAITA-BOY. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE - "CUCAITA CON VISIÓN OBRAS Y DESARROLLO PARA TODOS" · Jose Antonio Sierra Alvarado20190423colombia/S67eb704c85/2019391.4%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO47.3%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO37.3%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI15.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U0.2%
Results for event-e13ddf9664b2e0e594b0042c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Carlos Eduardo Luis Vanegas20030001colombia/S8164286948/20151,24247.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jose Moises Castillo Duarte18490002colombia/S8164286948/201598037.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Jose Leopoldo Sanchez Niño19910006colombia/S8164286948/201540015.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Florentino Borda Largo20050002colombia/S8164286948/201540.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

64.910–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.246521584017124, oldest_gap=9.97715156130998, previous_gap=13.57168916453849

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

50.71percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,4.495183731716018,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,95.50481626828397],[36.62896753009851,3.79423568040861,0,0,0,0,14.08245165997811,0,0,0,45.49434512951478],[37.319116527037316,0,0.15232292460015232,47.2962680883473,0,0,15.232292460015232,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

49.29percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,4.495183731716018,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,95.50481626828397],[36.62896753009851,3.79423568040861,0,0,0,0,14.08245165997811,0,0,0,45.49434512951478],[37.319116527037316,0,0.15232292460015232,47.2962680883473,0,0,15.232292460015232,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

50percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,4.495183731716018,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,95.50481626828397],[36.62896753009851,3.79423568040861,0,0,0,0,14.08245165997811,0,0,0,45.49434512951478],[37.319116527037316,0,0.15232292460015232,47.2962680883473,0,0,15.232292460015232,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Cucaita — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15224. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.