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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Combita — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Combita / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15204

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Combita / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-7612abb17883d96a594ef128
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COMBITA RENACE43.4%
  • COMBITA PARA TODOS30.7%
  • COMBITA NUESTRA RAZON DE SER26.0%
Results for event-35b3f9fdecfe4c6f0a6e1445
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COMBITA RENACE · Juan Carlos Sarmiento Sarmiento20230956colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,53543.4%UnknownRecorded
COMBITA PARA TODOS · Juan Carlos Garcia Garcia20230955colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,50130.7%UnknownRecorded
COMBITA NUESTRA RAZON DE SER · Wilton Yovan Suspe Vargas20230954colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,11826%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE COMBITA-BOY. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO DE LA U - PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - "SOMOS MAS"66.8%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE COMBITA-BOY. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y PARTIDO AICO33.2%
Results for event-3fb5fb074fcf4e54a7e0a039
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE COMBITA-BOY. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO DE LA U - PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - "SOMOS MAS" · Nelson Perez Suarez20190419colombia/S67eb704c85/20194,62266.8%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE COMBITA-BOY. PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE Y PARTIDO AICO · Nelson Rafael Parra Sandoval20190418colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,29533.2%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE33.9%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO31.3%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO11.9%
  • AHORA SÍ, TODOS POR EL CAMBIO10.3%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE8.9%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI3.6%
Results for event-9d347008a785922954351343
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Oscar Leonardo Avila Romero20090002colombia/S8164286948/20152,19633.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Jose Eraclio Rios Uribe20030001colombia/S8164286948/20152,02931.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Oromairo Avila Cruz18480001colombia/S8164286948/201577411.9%UnknownRecorded
AHORA SÍ, TODOS POR EL CAMBIO · Jairo Cesar Fuquene Ramos20150085colombia/S8164286948/201566510.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Santiago Samaca Lopez20130001colombia/S8164286948/20155788.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Marlen Camargo Zarate19910006colombia/S8164286948/20152353.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

10.210–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=12.680892813343142, oldest_gap=2.5783541763162, previous_gap=33.64175220471302

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,[0,11.949976841130153,0,31.32623127991354,8.923884514435695,33.90458545622974,3.628222942720395,0,0,0,10.26709896557048]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,[0,11.949976841130153,0,31.32623127991354,8.923884514435695,33.90458545622974,3.628222942720395,0,0,0,10.26709896557048]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,[0,11.949976841130153,0,31.32623127991354,8.923884514435695,33.90458545622974,3.628222942720395,0,0,0,10.26709896557048]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Combita — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15204. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.