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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Almeida — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Almeida / Boyaca · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-15022

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Almeida / Boyaca
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-1132da1c6dea45f7c277c7c6
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO35.5%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE32.4%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO20.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA9.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO2.2%
Results for event-0dca4922ec410fed7f778ace
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Nancy Yaneth Vaca Gutierrez18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202354535.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Carlos Alberto Acevedo Velasquez20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202349732.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Carlos Arturo Martinez Perilla20030001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202331020.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA · Carlos Humberto Castañeda Vargas19900002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231499.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Benedicta Caceres Medina18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023342.2%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U40.8%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE32.7%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO21.2%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI3.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS1.5%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO0.7%
Results for event-d652c26b067ecbdfe84e00c3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Orlando Castañeda Montenegro20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/201957540.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Nancy Yaneth Vaca Gutierrez20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/201946032.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Carlos Humberto Castañeda Vargas20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/201929921.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Angel Custodio Sanchez Roa19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/2019433.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Oscar Abel Castañeda Romero20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019211.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Nelson Martin Velasquez18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019100.7%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE ALMEIDA. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR60.7%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO39.3%
Results for event-e309ee70d1ae046bceb886e9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE ALMEIDA. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR · Carlos Alberto Acevedo Velasquez20150069colombia/S8164286948/201582660.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Carlos Humberto Castañeda Vargas20030001colombia/S8164286948/201553439.3%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

67.630–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.127035830618894, oldest_gap=21.470588235294116, previous_gap=8.167613636363633

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

79.09percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[35.504885993485345,2.214983713355049,0,20.19543973941368,0,32.37785016286645,0,0,0,0,9.70684039087948],[0.7102272727272727,0,40.83806818181818,21.235795454545453,32.67045454545455,0,3.053977272727273,1.4914772727272727,0,0,0],[0,0,0,39.26470588235294,0,0,0,0,0,0,60.73529411764706]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

78.76percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[35.504885993485345,2.214983713355049,0,20.19543973941368,0,32.37785016286645,0,0,0,0,9.70684039087948],[0.7102272727272727,0,40.83806818181818,21.235795454545453,32.67045454545455,0,3.053977272727273,1.4914772727272727,0,0,0],[0,0,0,39.26470588235294,0,0,0,0,0,0,60.73529411764706]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

78.93percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[35.504885993485345,2.214983713355049,0,20.19543973941368,0,32.37785016286645,0,0,0,0,9.70684039087948],[0.7102272727272727,0,40.83806818181818,21.235795454545453,32.67045454545455,0,3.053977272727273,1.4914772727272727,0,0,0],[0,0,0,39.26470588235294,0,0,0,0,0,0,60.73529411764706]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Almeida — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-15022. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.