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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Tiquisio (Pto. Rico) — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Tiquisio (Pto. Rico) / Bolivar · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-13810

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Tiquisio (Pto. Rico) / Bolivar
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-d63ef9ffc1c3d2a04a971375
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO50.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO48.8%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE0.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS0.1%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI0.1%
Results for event-f9116e1ebb0620424fde6ad1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Neil Enrique Cantillo Nuñez18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20235,19450.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO · Abel Alberto Polanco Lemos19790001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,97348.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Nancy Leonarda Perez Bello20130001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023120.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Henry Piedrahita Porrety20130002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202390.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Raul Ceballos Mendoza19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202380.1%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE52.8%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO44.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U2.8%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO0.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS0.1%
Results for event-00a787e950b144a832095dfe
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Karen Melissa Contreras Acuña20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20195,29652.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Fernando Enrique Bertel Meza18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20194,43344.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Marlon Florez Marquez20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/20192812.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Lino Jose De Leon Bolaño18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/201990.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Abel Alberto Polanco Lemos20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/201960.1%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U53.2%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE46.1%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO0.2%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE0.0%
Results for event-3d38c21c9990e355159ff505
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Fernando Antonio Carmona Perez20050002colombia/S8164286948/20154,45653.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Jose Alfredo Jimenez Castillo20130001colombia/S8164286948/20153,86446.1%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Juan Jose Sacco Arroyo20050001colombia/S8164286948/2015320.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Juan Carlos Florez Fonseca18480001colombia/S8164286948/2015190.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Gabriel Ernesto Rojas Madera20090002colombia/S8164286948/201530%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

77.050–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.167516673205178, oldest_gap=7.0695008359207065, previous_gap=8.608478802992515

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

55.6percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[50.94154570419772,0,0,0,0.11769321302471558,0,0.07846214201647705,0.08826990976853669,0,0,48.774029030992544],[44.219451371571076,0.08977556109725686,2.802992518703242,0,52.82793017456359,0,0,0.059850374064837904,0,0,0],[0,0.2268927633150227,53.21232385956532,0,46.14282302364462,0.03582517315500358,0,0,0.38213518032003824,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

50.96percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[50.94154570419772,0,0,0,0.11769321302471558,0,0.07846214201647705,0.08826990976853669,0,0,48.774029030992544],[44.219451371571076,0.08977556109725686,2.802992518703242,0,52.82793017456359,0,0,0.059850374064837904,0,0,0],[0,0.2268927633150227,53.21232385956532,0,46.14282302364462,0.03582517315500358,0,0,0.38213518032003824,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

53.28percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[50.94154570419772,0,0,0,0.11769321302471558,0,0.07846214201647705,0.08826990976853669,0,0,48.774029030992544],[44.219451371571076,0.08977556109725686,2.802992518703242,0,52.82793017456359,0,0,0.059850374064837904,0,0,0],[0,0.2268927633150227,53.21232385956532,0,46.14282302364462,0.03582517315500358,0,0,0.38213518032003824,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Tiquisio (Pto. Rico) — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-13810. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.