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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Simiti — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Simiti / Bolivar · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-13744

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Simiti / Bolivar
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-8449033ec19eaed6b5d9415b
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO30.9%
  • CEDE party code 2023000524.0%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO23.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO13.7%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI5.6%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE2.1%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO TODOS SOMOS COLOMBIA0.2%
Results for event-a2962d74ba09b9150a446787
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Wilman Eli Quintana Gonzalez20030001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,87130.9%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230005 · Felix Trespalacios Palomino20230005colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,22724%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Edwin Torres Sosa18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,17523.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Joaquin Fernando Rodriguez Gomez18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,27313.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Elkin Yohany Rincon Muñeton19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20235215.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Betsy Johana Alvarado Mendoza20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231992.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO TODOS SOMOS COLOMBIA · Ivan Alexi Lazcano Hernandez20170002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023220.2%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO39.6%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO33.9%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI24.1%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO1.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS0.5%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE0.4%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE0.3%
Results for event-1a5184890d216ad2d6713c0f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Orlando Manuel Gomez Solera20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,27339.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Alberto Julio Perez Niz18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,80033.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Elkin Yohany Rincon Muñeton19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,99124.1%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Arnhoolkg Arnulfo Gelvez Diaz20050001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191021.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Leodith Gonzalez Iglesias20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019420.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Jose Nectolio Agualimpia Mejia20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/2019290.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Nora Patricia Ortiz Arevalo20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019270.3%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO56.8%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO42.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U0.9%
Results for event-3766ebd0b234773c8da3c6b7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Jesus Alberto Ramirez Cardona20030001colombia/S8164286948/20154,47456.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Alberto Julio Perez Niz18490002colombia/S8164286948/20153,32642.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Edgar Iglesias Torres20050002colombia/S8164286948/2015730.9%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

63.320–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.933677863910422, oldest_gap=14.581481011050428, previous_gap=5.723620522749279

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

39.38percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[23.41731266149871,13.705857019810509,0,30.910852713178294,0,2.1425495262704564,5.609388458225667,0,0,0,24.214039621016365],[33.88189738625363,0,0,39.605517909002906,0,0.3267182962245886,24.09244917715392,0.5082284607938045,1.234269119070668,0,0.35091965150048404],[42.245649688809856,0,0.9272196113298615,56.827130699860284,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.51percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[23.41731266149871,13.705857019810509,0,30.910852713178294,0,2.1425495262704564,5.609388458225667,0,0,0,24.214039621016365],[33.88189738625363,0,0,39.605517909002906,0,0.3267182962245886,24.09244917715392,0.5082284607938045,1.234269119070668,0,0.35091965150048404],[42.245649688809856,0,0.9272196113298615,56.827130699860284,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.95percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[23.41731266149871,13.705857019810509,0,30.910852713178294,0,2.1425495262704564,5.609388458225667,0,0,0,24.214039621016365],[33.88189738625363,0,0,39.605517909002906,0,0.3267182962245886,24.09244917715392,0.5082284607938045,1.234269119070668,0,0.35091965150048404],[42.245649688809856,0,0.9272196113298615,56.827130699860284,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Simiti — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-13744. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.