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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Santa Rosa Del Sur — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Santa Rosa Del Sur / Bolivar · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-13688

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Santa Rosa Del Sur / Bolivar
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-8c4278fbaddf98091d8b4af0
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO52.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA23.6%
  • SANTA ROSA COMPETITIVA8.3%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE7.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN4.4%
  • CEDE party code 202300062.1%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.9%
Results for event-f50ca306aec8ac03dffeedff
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Milton Alexis Olaya Santamaria18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20237,97252.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA · Carlos Albeiro Martinez Arango19900002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,56323.6%UnknownRecorded
SANTA ROSA COMPETITIVA · Dallinger Monroy Peña20231920colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,2578.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Yeison Javier Murillo Garcia20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,1767.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN · Richard Orlando Coba Vaca19900001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20236694.4%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230006 · Maximiliano Rodriguez Roa20230006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233162.1%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Javier Enrique Casadiegos Garzon20050001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231330.9%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE60.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO38.4%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI1.0%
Results for event-a07ea8ee6bfde343654b9b52
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Fabio Orlando Mendoza Barreto20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20199,22460.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Hector Herney Olaya Santamaria18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20195,83538.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Richard Orlando Coba Vaca19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/20191501%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U37.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO28.4%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE26.7%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO7.4%
Results for event-347a84acbe206e748ba4d9fe
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Delmar Augusto Burgos Uribe20050002colombia/S8164286948/20154,79337.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Hector Herney Olaya Santamaria18480001colombia/S8164286948/20153,62428.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Jose Melecio Cendales Moreno20130001colombia/S8164286948/20153,41626.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Fabio Orlando Mendoza Barreto18490002colombia/S8164286948/20159497.4%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=29.225772239162133, oldest_gap=9.145673603504928, previous_gap=22.28285883358538

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

100percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[52.84369614211852,0,0,0,0,7.795306907066154,0,0,0.8816120906801007,0,38.47938486013523],[0,38.365441514892495,0,0,60.648300348477875,0,0.9862581366296272,0,0,0,0],[7.424503207635738,28.35237052104522,37.49804412455015,0,26.725082146768894,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

44.92percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[52.84369614211852,0,0,0,0,7.795306907066154,0,0,0.8816120906801007,0,38.47938486013523],[0,38.365441514892495,0,0,60.648300348477875,0,0.9862581366296272,0,0,0,0],[7.424503207635738,28.35237052104522,37.49804412455015,0,26.725082146768894,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

72.46percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[52.84369614211852,0,0,0,0,7.795306907066154,0,0,0.8816120906801007,0,38.47938486013523],[0,38.365441514892495,0,0,60.648300348477875,0,0.9862581366296272,0,0,0,0],[7.424503207635738,28.35237052104522,37.49804412455015,0,26.725082146768894,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Santa Rosa Del Sur — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-13688. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.