Office briefing
San Pablo — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · San Pablo / Bolivar · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-13670
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- San Pablo / Bolivar
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-49809001a026cfd68540c729
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- EL CAMBIO ES TUS MANOS51.9%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO44.3%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI2.5%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA1.1%
- MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA0.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EL CAMBIO ES TUS MANOS · Jair Acevedo Cavadia | 20231114colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 7,105 | 51.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Alfredo Salgado Garcia | 18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 6,070 | 44.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Norberto Martinez Melo | 19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 346 | 2.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Rosa Neris Villa Sierra | 20180047colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 156 | 1.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Wilman Villegas Castro | 19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 21 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE SAN PABLO-BOL. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - "MOVIMIENTO DE LA GENTE"36.5%
- PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES33.9%
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO16.0%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE13.4%
- MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS0.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE SAN PABLO-BOL. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - "MOVIMIENTO DE LA GENTE" · Omar Bohorquez Rojas | 20190394colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 4,651 | 36.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES · Jair Acevedo Cavadia | 20170001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 4,324 | 33.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Jose Maria Herrera Almanza | 20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 2,040 | 16% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Carlos Mario Murgas Lacouture | 20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 1,713 | 13.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Artemio Mejia Zuluaga | 20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 13 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U37.0%
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO26.2%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO25.1%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE5.5%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO5.5%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE0.7%
- MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS0.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Manuel Jose Rudas Rudas | 20050002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 4,085 | 37% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Jair Acevedo Cavadia | 20030001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 2,891 | 26.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Artemio Mejia Zuluaga | 18480001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 2,770 | 25.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · David Enrique Ospino Trespalacios | 20090002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 607 | 5.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Fernando Villa Sierra | 18490002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 604 | 5.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Jorge Antonio Navarro Sierra | 20130001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 77 | 0.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Nelida Ayala Avellaneda | 20130002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 9 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI68.080–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.55584756898817, oldest_gap=10.812279271936973, previous_gap=2.566517541794205
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility46.84percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,44.31303839976639,0,0,0,0,2.5259161921448388,0,0,0,53.16104540808877],[0,0,0,16.011302095596893,13.444784553802684,0,0,0.10203280747194098,0,0,70.44188054312849],[5.469528207914516,25.08376347007154,36.991759485647016,26.179480213710043,0.6972742914063208,5.496694738748529,0,0.08149959250203749,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility83.21percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,44.31303839976639,0,0,0,0,2.5259161921448388,0,0,0,53.16104540808877],[0,0,0,16.011302095596893,13.444784553802684,0,0,0.10203280747194098,0,0,70.44188054312849],[5.469528207914516,25.08376347007154,36.991759485647016,26.179480213710043,0.6972742914063208,5.496694738748529,0,0.08149959250203749,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility65.02percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,44.31303839976639,0,0,0,0,2.5259161921448388,0,0,0,53.16104540808877],[0,0,0,16.011302095596893,13.444784553802684,0,0,0.10203280747194098,0,0,70.44188054312849],[5.469528207914516,25.08376347007154,36.991759485647016,26.179480213710043,0.6972742914063208,5.496694738748529,0,0.08149959250203749,0,0,0]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “San Pablo — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-13670. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.