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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

San Juan Nepomuceno — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · San Juan Nepomuceno / Bolivar · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-13657

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
San Juan Nepomuceno / Bolivar
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-37c7cfac55024d360eebb22b
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO89.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA8.2%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE1.3%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE0.6%
  • G.S.C LIGA DE GOBERNANTES ANTICORRUPCION0.6%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD0.3%
Results for event-e9c4f73d72b1ffd1a494b974
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Guido Jose Figueroa Martinez18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202317,67589%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Luis Alberto Barrios Suarez19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,6348.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Alvaro Jose Diaz Yepes20180046colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232531.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Omar De Jesus Leiva Julio20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231220.6%UnknownRecorded
G.S.C LIGA DE GOBERNANTES ANTICORRUPCION · Adolfo Leon Barrios Guzman20191578colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231200.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD · Arnol Elias Sierra Romani20200001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023620.3%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI51.5%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO47.2%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES0.8%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO0.5%
Results for event-26be28968ae24c64abe5acbc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Wilfrido Alfonso Romero Vergara19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/201911,17051.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Guido Jose Figueroa Martinez20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/201910,24747.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES · Hermides Rafael Blanco Laguna20170001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191740.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Ivan Dario Arrieta Sanchez18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191010.5%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO47.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO40.3%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI7.9%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE4.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U0.5%
  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA0.1%
Results for event-0e1a94ea437ffff3c13c1e51
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Benito Jose Acosta Vergara20030001colombia/S8164286948/20159,19847.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Edgardo De Jesus Sarabia Barrios18480001colombia/S8164286948/20157,88340.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Mayerlis Angarita Robles19910006colombia/S8164286948/20151,5447.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Humberto Jose Guzman Stave20130001colombia/S8164286948/20158084.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Gabriel Eduardo Sanchez Gomez20050002colombia/S8164286948/2015920.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Guido Jose Figueroa Martinez20090001colombia/S8164286948/2015130.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=80.74599818785865, oldest_gap=6.730473948203503, previous_gap=4.255024893970123

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

99.2percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[88.97110641296688,0,0,0,0,0.6141145676029397,0,0,0,0,10.414779019430183],[0,0.4656094412686705,0,47.238613313664025,0,0,51.49363820763415,0,0,0,0.8021390374331551],[0,40.347016071245775,0.47087726481727915,47.07749001944928,4.135530760569147,0,7.90254887910738,0,0,0,0.06653700481113727]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

44.49percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[88.97110641296688,0,0,0,0,0.6141145676029397,0,0,0,0,10.414779019430183],[0,0.4656094412686705,0,47.238613313664025,0,0,51.49363820763415,0,0,0,0.8021390374331551],[0,40.347016071245775,0.47087726481727915,47.07749001944928,4.135530760569147,0,7.90254887910738,0,0,0,0.06653700481113727]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

71.84percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[88.97110641296688,0,0,0,0,0.6141145676029397,0,0,0,0,10.414779019430183],[0,0.4656094412686705,0,47.238613313664025,0,0,51.49363820763415,0,0,0,0.8021390374331551],[0,40.347016071245775,0.47087726481727915,47.07749001944928,4.135530760569147,0,7.90254887910738,0,0,0,0.06653700481113727]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “San Juan Nepomuceno — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-13657. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.