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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

San Jacinto Del Cauca — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · San Jacinto Del Cauca / Bolivar · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-13655

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
San Jacinto Del Cauca / Bolivar
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-5c2ef81e75d7d85dc347d8a3
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO48.3%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO47.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO4.0%
Results for event-73aa15678ea499d35f0a6143
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Oney Aurelio Hernandez Rivera18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,60348.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Ibrail Jose Barragan Carcamo18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,56647.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO · Orlando Javier Castilla Carcamo19790001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232164%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO55.0%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SAN JACINTO DEL CAUCA-BOL. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO44.7%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO0.3%
Results for event-d4197e8324f6c4a5c2a12414
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Marcial Antonio Chavez Beltran18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,76255%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SAN JACINTO DEL CAUCA-BOL. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · Ibrail Jose Barragan Carcamo20190135colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,24344.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Oney Aurelio Hernandez Rivera20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019130.3%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U53.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO45.6%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE1.4%
Results for event-6db916b34960c6fbfe6cfa67
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Enrique Carlos Franco Contreras20050002colombia/S8164286948/20152,52753%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Ibrail Jose Barragan Carcamo18480001colombia/S8164286948/20152,17545.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Carlos Arturo Palacios Sierra20130001colombia/S8164286948/2015671.4%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

78.730–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.6870937790157825, oldest_gap=7.381002306563218, previous_gap=10.34276604224791

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.65percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[47.65088207985144,48.337975858867225,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,4.011142061281337],[0,55.04184934236748,0,0.25906735751295334,0,0,0,0,0,0,44.69908330011957],[0,45.60704550220172,52.98804780876494,0,1.4049066890333404,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

54.39percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[47.65088207985144,48.337975858867225,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,4.011142061281337],[0,55.04184934236748,0,0.25906735751295334,0,0,0,0,0,0,44.69908330011957],[0,45.60704550220172,52.98804780876494,0,1.4049066890333404,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

51.02percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[47.65088207985144,48.337975858867225,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,4.011142061281337],[0,55.04184934236748,0,0.25906735751295334,0,0,0,0,0,0,44.69908330011957],[0,45.60704550220172,52.98804780876494,0,1.4049066890333404,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “San Jacinto Del Cauca — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-13655. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.