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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Regidor — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Regidor / Bolivar · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-13580

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Regidor / Bolivar
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-971a0bdd2ea020ad9f015505
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION RENACE LA ESPERANZA59.2%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO40.5%
  • COALICION POLITICA Y PROGRAMATICA0.3%
  • INDEPENDIENTES0.0%
Results for event-15476f310b5aa230d6c29f88
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION RENACE LA ESPERANZA · Carlos Alberto Barros Quiñones20230890colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,43059.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Daniel Eduardo Urrego Mendez18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,66540.5%UnknownRecorded
COALICION POLITICA Y PROGRAMATICA · Yony Navarro Linares20230843colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023120.3%UnknownRecorded
INDEPENDIENTES · Elmis Irneth Contreras Machuca20190087colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202310%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE REGIDOR-BOL. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "EL DESARROLLO CONTINUA"48.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO32.4%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE15.9%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE2.1%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA1.3%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO0.2%
Results for event-fbde4876ec16ea79870abbe4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE REGIDOR-BOL. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "EL DESARROLLO CONTINUA" · Harold Quiñones Santodomingo20190392colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,73448%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Ezequiel Antonio Rueda Florez18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,17132.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Heriberto Urrego Gomez20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/201957315.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Ruben Dario Barros Romero20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019772.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA · Elmis Irneth Contreras Machuca20190033colombia/S67eb704c85/2019461.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Faustina Emilia Armesto Machuca18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/201980.2%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA54.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO45.5%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO0.0%
Results for event-70aa88a2bd165934fa08f626
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Jadimir Gutierrez Franco20090001colombia/S8164286948/20151,85254.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Ezequiel Antonio Rueda Florez18480001colombia/S8164286948/20151,54945.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Julio Cesar Florez Rojas20030001colombia/S8164286948/201510%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

16.280–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=18.6222005842259, oldest_gap=8.90652557319224, previous_gap=15.599889165973948

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40.31percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[40.530671859785784,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,59.469328140214216],[0.22166805209199225,32.44666112496537,0,0,0,2.1335550013854254,0,0,0,0,65.19811582155721],[0,45.53203997648442,0,0.029394473838918283,0,0,0,0,0,0,54.43856554967666]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.11percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[40.530671859785784,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,59.469328140214216],[0.22166805209199225,32.44666112496537,0,0,0,2.1335550013854254,0,0,0,0,65.19811582155721],[0,45.53203997648442,0,0.029394473838918283,0,0,0,0,0,0,54.43856554967666]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.71percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[40.530671859785784,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,59.469328140214216],[0.22166805209199225,32.44666112496537,0,0,0,2.1335550013854254,0,0,0,0,65.19811582155721],[0,45.53203997648442,0,0.029394473838918283,0,0,0,0,0,0,54.43856554967666]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Regidor — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-13580. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.