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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Pinillos — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Pinillos / Bolivar · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-13549

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Pinillos / Bolivar
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-590572381294185b2fea35bf
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO48.0%
  • CEDE party code 2023000540.1%
  • CREEMOS9.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA1.4%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE0.6%
Results for event-84b5abe8ca064edbb64089cf
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Carlos Mardonio Tovar Quevedo18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20235,89648%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230005 · Sandra Elena Villadiego Villadiego20230005colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,92940.1%UnknownRecorded
CREEMOS · Jose Manuel Sierra Portela20150003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,2189.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Arnaldo Ramirez De Leon20180047colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231731.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Maria Victoria Rangel De Diaz20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023780.6%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE PINILLOS-BOL. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "LA VOZ DEL PUEBLO"59.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U35.1%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI3.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS1.5%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE0.6%
Results for event-38fe2d6d80515cdacbd81d36
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE PINILLOS-BOL. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "LA VOZ DEL PUEBLO" · Alcides Gulloso Garcia20190430colombia/S67eb704c85/20196,75359.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Sandra Elena Villadiego Villadiego20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,98035.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Arturo Rangel Perez19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/20193773.3%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Fausto Emir Cañaveras Oliveros20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191681.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Maria Victoria Rangel De Diaz20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019640.6%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO58.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U41.1%
Results for event-8376332ddb3db1e5faf7a223
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Marcos Antonio Perez Chavez18480001colombia/S8164286948/20156,00958.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Jorge Armando Santander Gil20050002colombia/S8164286948/20154,18641.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

30.790–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.865625508378066, oldest_gap=17.88131436978911, previous_gap=24.448950802327637

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

48.03percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[47.958353668456155,0,0,0,0,0.634455832113226,0,0,0,0,51.40719049943062],[0,0,35.0908129077764,0,0,0.5642743784165051,3.323928760359725,1.4812202433433257,0,0,59.53976371010404],[0,58.940657184894555,41.059342815105445,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

64.91percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[47.958353668456155,0,0,0,0,0.634455832113226,0,0,0,0,51.40719049943062],[0,0,35.0908129077764,0,0,0.5642743784165051,3.323928760359725,1.4812202433433257,0,0,59.53976371010404],[0,58.940657184894555,41.059342815105445,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

56.47percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[47.958353668456155,0,0,0,0,0.634455832113226,0,0,0,0,51.40719049943062],[0,0,35.0908129077764,0,0,0.5642743784165051,3.323928760359725,1.4812202433433257,0,0,59.53976371010404],[0,58.940657184894555,41.059342815105445,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Pinillos — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-13549. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.