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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Norosi — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Norosi / Bolivar · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-13490

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Norosi / Bolivar
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-3f21fde979cf54286c95148e
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO55.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO24.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA20.8%
  • CEDE party code 202300050.0%
Results for event-08d61afa99512bb9bbfcddc4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Wilberto Fonseca Arbelaez18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,05855.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO · Wilder Fonseca Urrutia19790001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202389724%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Maria Victoria Marquez Lizarazo19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202377520.8%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230005 · Jose Luis Jimenez Rodriguez20230005colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202310%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO55.6%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI35.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO9.3%
Results for event-a719e4bac6ff1c3c2f03c893
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Arturo Londoño Jimenez20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,67655.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Garibaldy De Jesus Arteaga Gomez19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,06035.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Daimer Jimenez Barba18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20192819.3%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U72.4%
  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA27.4%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO0.2%
Results for event-4ebbc24e0757db4d83cf8fef
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Jailton Ariza Camacho20050002colombia/S8164286948/20151,76772.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Garibaldy De Jesus Arteaga Gomez20090001colombia/S8164286948/201566827.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Leonardo Campuzano Gomez18490002colombia/S8164286948/201550.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=31.117662824979895, oldest_gap=45.040983606557376, previous_gap=20.41763341067285

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

100percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[55.15947467166979,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,44.84052532833021],[0,9.313887968180312,0,55.55187272124627,0,0,35.13423931057342,0,0,0,0],[0.20491803278688525,0,72.41803278688525,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,27.37704918032787]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

100percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[55.15947467166979,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,44.84052532833021],[0,9.313887968180312,0,55.55187272124627,0,0,35.13423931057342,0,0,0,0],[0.20491803278688525,0,72.41803278688525,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,27.37704918032787]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

100percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[55.15947467166979,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,44.84052532833021],[0,9.313887968180312,0,55.55187272124627,0,0,35.13423931057342,0,0,0,0],[0.20491803278688525,0,72.41803278688525,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,27.37704918032787]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Norosi — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-13490. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.