Office briefing
Montecristo — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Montecristo / Bolivar · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-13458
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Montecristo / Bolivar
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-7037e1031c30f374762dc770
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO58.4%
- MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA36.0%
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO5.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Luis Carlos Baldovino Caro | 18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 3,849 | 58.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Sandy Libet Cabrera Romero | 19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 2,370 | 36% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Caren Margarita Reyes Arrieta | 20030001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 372 | 5.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO42.6%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U34.1%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO22.9%
- POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.2%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI0.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jairo Hernando Hernandez Buelvas | 18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 2,437 | 42.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Luis Gabriel Avila Gonzalez | 20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 1,950 | 34.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Oscar Vergara Fuertes | 18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 1,311 | 22.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Carlos Julio Contreras Palomino | 20050001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 13 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Omar De Jesus Nuñez Carpio | 19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 7 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO55.5%
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO36.6%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U7.5%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO0.2%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI0.1%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE0.1%
- POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Beduth Enrrique Salgado Macias | 18480001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 2,770 | 55.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Oscar Vergara Fuertes | 20030001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,826 | 36.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Marta Ines Caro Patiño | 20050002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 373 | 7.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Ricardo Javier Lopez Palomino | 18490002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 8 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Eliecer Antonio Estrada Padilla | 19910006colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 7 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Bladimir Jimenez Cardenas | 20130001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 4 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Alveiro Cabrera Castellar | 20050001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 3 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI10.450–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=22.439690487027768, oldest_gap=18.91404528150671, previous_gap=8.516963973417276
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility57.38percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[58.397815202548934,0,0,5.644060081929904,0,0,0,0,0,0,35.958124715521166],[42.61979713186429,22.927597061909758,34.10283315844701,0,0,0,0.12242042672263029,0,0.2273522210563134,0,0],[0.16028851933480265,55.49989981967541,7.473452213985174,36.585854538168704,0.08014425966740132,0,0.1402524544179523,0,0.06010819475055099,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility69.26percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[58.397815202548934,0,0,5.644060081929904,0,0,0,0,0,0,35.958124715521166],[42.61979713186429,22.927597061909758,34.10283315844701,0,0,0,0.12242042672263029,0,0.2273522210563134,0,0],[0.16028851933480265,55.49989981967541,7.473452213985174,36.585854538168704,0.08014425966740132,0,0.1402524544179523,0,0.06010819475055099,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility63.32percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[58.397815202548934,0,0,5.644060081929904,0,0,0,0,0,0,35.958124715521166],[42.61979713186429,22.927597061909758,34.10283315844701,0,0,0,0.12242042672263029,0,0.2273522210563134,0,0],[0.16028851933480265,55.49989981967541,7.473452213985174,36.585854538168704,0.08014425966740132,0,0.1402524544179523,0,0.06010819475055099,0,0]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Montecristo — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-13458. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.