Office briefing
Margarita — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Margarita / Bolivar · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-13440
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Margarita / Bolivar
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-33a016fd6bb69010b0d3048e
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI50.2%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO45.6%
- CEDE party code 202300053.7%
- MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA0.3%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO0.1%
- MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN0.1%
- MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA0.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Valentina Bello Lobo | 19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 3,297 | 50.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Luisa Maria Perez Martinez | 18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 2,994 | 45.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230005 · Yusmaris Baena Aguilar | 20230005colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 246 | 3.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Ronald De Jesus Gamarra Soto | 19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 21 | 0.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Maria Francisca Moscote Diaz | 18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 8 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN · Antonio Carlos Rapalino Pedrozo | 19900001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 4 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA · Willian Gustavo Matuk Benavides | 19900002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 2 | 0% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO45.7%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U45.2%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO5.9%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE1.4%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE1.4%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO0.4%
- MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO0.0%
- PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE0.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Juan Manuel Camargo Torres | 20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 2,973 | 45.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Jose Martinez Nieto | 20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 2,942 | 45.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Antonio Carlos Rapalino Pedrozo | 18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 383 | 5.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Luis Restrepo Miranda | 20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 91 | 1.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Misael Pedrozo Gomez | 20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 90 | 1.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Dilia Bello Villalobos | 18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 24 | 0.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Juvenal Diaz Rangel | 19910001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 3 | 0% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Maria Francisca Moscote Diaz | 20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 3 | 0% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO49.3%
- PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA30.7%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U19.8%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO0.1%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI0.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · German Montes Pedrozo | 18480001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 2,693 | 49.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Eden Mendez Avendaño | 20090001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,678 | 30.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Maria Francisca Moscote Diaz | 20050002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,082 | 19.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Yunis Felizzola Pedrozo | 18490002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 6 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Bernardino Gutierrez Rangel | 19910006colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 3 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI76.160–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.610468654899577, oldest_gap=18.58293665324057, previous_gap=0.4762636349669691
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility93.95percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[45.55690809494826,0.12172854534388314,0,0,0,0,50.16737674984784,0,0,0,4.153986609860013],[5.884160393301582,0.3687202335228146,45.198955292671684,45.67521892763865,1.3827008757105546,1.3980642187740053,0,0,0,0.04609002919035182,0.04609002919035182],[0.10984987184181619,49.30428414500183,19.809593555474184,0,0,0,0.054924935920908094,0,0,0,30.72134749176126]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility79.67percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[45.55690809494826,0.12172854534388314,0,0,0,0,50.16737674984784,0,0,0,4.153986609860013],[5.884160393301582,0.3687202335228146,45.198955292671684,45.67521892763865,1.3827008757105546,1.3980642187740053,0,0,0,0.04609002919035182,0.04609002919035182],[0.10984987184181619,49.30428414500183,19.809593555474184,0,0,0,0.054924935920908094,0,0,0,30.72134749176126]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility86.81percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[45.55690809494826,0.12172854534388314,0,0,0,0,50.16737674984784,0,0,0,4.153986609860013],[5.884160393301582,0.3687202335228146,45.198955292671684,45.67521892763865,1.3827008757105546,1.3980642187740053,0,0,0,0.04609002919035182,0.04609002919035182],[0.10984987184181619,49.30428414500183,19.809593555474184,0,0,0,0.054924935920908094,0,0,0,30.72134749176126]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Margarita — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-13440. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.