Office briefing
Mahates — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Mahates / Bolivar · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-13433
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Mahates / Bolivar
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-764a940041c5794713e62d41
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO46.8%
- MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO39.1%
- MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA6.5%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI5.2%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE2.4%
- CEDE party code 202300040.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Agustin Tercero Palomino Agamez | 18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 7,012 | 46.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO · Cesar Augusto James Agamez | 19790001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 5,863 | 39.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Karen Martinez Contreras | 19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 969 | 6.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Jaime Jose Herrera Salvador | 19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 778 | 5.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Regina Isabel De Voz Quezada | 20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 367 | 2.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230004 · Carmen Cecilia Romero Agamez | 20230004colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 9 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE54.4%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO39.1%
- PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE6.3%
- PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Jose Andres Altahona Escorcia | 20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 7,839 | 54.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Waldy Elias Seluan Martelo | 18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 5,637 | 39.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Karen Martinez Contreras | 20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 906 | 6.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE · Illich De Jesus Payares Arzuza | 20180004colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 37 | 0.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO44.2%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO33.2%
- MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS13.3%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U8.3%
- PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA0.7%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE0.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Victor Augusto Guerra Olascoaga | 20030001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 5,274 | 44.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Waldy Elias Seluan Martelo | 18480001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 3,962 | 33.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Yobanis Tejedor Cassiani | 20130002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,582 | 13.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Ufran Alberto Agamez Herrera | 20050002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 993 | 8.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Saulo Gil Ramirez Fernandez | 20090001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 87 | 0.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Guillermo Agamez Piña | 20130001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 24 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI48.610–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.661021469529274, oldest_gap=11.004864955544377, previous_gap=15.271516748734307
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility93.46percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[46.75290038671823,0,0,0,0,2.4469929323909856,5.1873583144419255,0,0,0,45.61274836644886],[0,39.09425064151467,0,0,54.365767390248976,0,0,0,0,0,6.539981968236355],[0,33.232679080691156,8.329139406139909,44.23754403623553,0.20130850528434827,0,0,13.26958563999329,0,0,0.7297433316557624]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility65.84percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[46.75290038671823,0,0,0,0,2.4469929323909856,5.1873583144419255,0,0,0,45.61274836644886],[0,39.09425064151467,0,0,54.365767390248976,0,0,0,0,0,6.539981968236355],[0,33.232679080691156,8.329139406139909,44.23754403623553,0.20130850528434827,0,0,13.26958563999329,0,0,0.7297433316557624]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility79.65percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[46.75290038671823,0,0,0,0,2.4469929323909856,5.1873583144419255,0,0,0,45.61274836644886],[0,39.09425064151467,0,0,54.365767390248976,0,0,0,0,0,6.539981968236355],[0,33.232679080691156,8.329139406139909,44.23754403623553,0.20130850528434827,0,0,13.26958563999329,0,0,0.7297433316557624]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Mahates — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-13433. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.