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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Magangue — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Magangue / Bolivar · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-13430

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Magangue / Bolivar
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-ef8f40989fd86181fea98ce0
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO44.8%
  • FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO19.7%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE16.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA14.7%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE2.0%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.9%
  • CEDE party code 202300020.6%
  • CEDE party code 202300010.6%
  • PACTO HISTORICO0.4%
  • CEDE party code 202300060.1%
Results for event-1730e696607cb46ce330b270
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Pedro Manuel Ali Ali18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202328,66344.8%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO · Anastacio Enrique Bedoya Cardenas20150388colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202312,59619.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Jose Gustavo Plata Cardenas20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202310,38116.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Eduin Leonardo Franco Perez20180047colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20239,39014.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Erick Agustin Baldovino Palomino20130001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,3022%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Julio Andres Lemos Arrieta20050001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20235680.9%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230002 · Rubys Menco Contreras20230002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234130.6%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230001 · Jorge Luis Otero Barcena20230001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233570.6%UnknownRecorded
PACTO HISTORICO · Yhony Jose Hernandez Aguas20231615colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232530.4%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230006 · Nilo Enrique Perez Severiche20230006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023500.1%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO50.8%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE MAGANGUE-BOL. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE Y MOVIMIENTO AICO39.9%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE MAGANGUE-BOL. MOVIMIENTO TODOS MAGANGUE - PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA - "CONSTRUYAMOS LA NUEVA MAGANGUE"5.8%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO2.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA0.7%
  • PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE0.2%
Results for event-5a042732863f3a9e51896d1e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Carlos Emil Cabrales Isaac18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/201932,00350.8%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE MAGANGUE-BOL. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE Y MOVIMIENTO AICO · Yalil Arana Payares20190134colombia/S67eb704c85/201925,17439.9%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE MAGANGUE-BOL. MOVIMIENTO TODOS MAGANGUE - PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA - "CONSTRUYAMOS LA NUEVA MAGANGUE" · Alonso Enrique Butron Martinez20190391colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,6635.8%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Candy Reino Quintero20050001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,6472.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Hubert Alberto Tarriba Perez20180047colombia/S67eb704c85/20194310.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE · Nilo Enrique Perez Severiche20180004colombia/S67eb704c85/20191120.2%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO49.0%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE MAGANGUE-BOL. PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE Y PARTIDO DE LA U41.0%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE7.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO2.2%
Results for event-870d4e3ef7d74d6251187aa3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Pedro Manuel Ali Ali20030001colombia/S8164286948/201528,19349%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE MAGANGUE-BOL. PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE Y PARTIDO DE LA U · Alfredo Bernardo Posada Viana20150065colombia/S8164286948/201523,61041%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Ubaldo Enrique Meza Ricardo20090002colombia/S8164286948/20154,5267.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Luz Stela Sierra Donado19910001colombia/S8164286948/20151,2452.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

4.420–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=25.11528301001985, oldest_gap=7.960190363705841, previous_gap=10.834523242900204

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

18.26percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,44.804839541681645,0,0,2.035233614180983,16.22715833242149,0,0,0.8878745720850983,0,36.04489393963078],[0,50.774234491511976,0,0,0,0,0,0,2.613041408852927,0,46.61272409963509],[0,0,0,48.96828429499427,0,7.8611873415083195,0,0,0,2.162434432208983,41.00809393128843]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

58.99percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,44.804839541681645,0,0,2.035233614180983,16.22715833242149,0,0,0.8878745720850983,0,36.04489393963078],[0,50.774234491511976,0,0,0,0,0,0,2.613041408852927,0,46.61272409963509],[0,0,0,48.96828429499427,0,7.8611873415083195,0,0,0,2.162434432208983,41.00809393128843]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

38.63percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,44.804839541681645,0,0,2.035233614180983,16.22715833242149,0,0,0.8878745720850983,0,36.04489393963078],[0,50.774234491511976,0,0,0,0,0,0,2.613041408852927,0,46.61272409963509],[0,0,0,48.96828429499427,0,7.8611873415083195,0,0,0,2.162434432208983,41.00809393128843]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Magangue — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-13430. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.