Office briefing
El Carmen De Bolivar — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · El Carmen De Bolivar / Bolivar · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-13244
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- El Carmen De Bolivar / Bolivar
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-a896e8864b5176e48e062b08
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO51.1%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO35.9%
- CEDE party code 202300036.7%
- PACTO HISTORICO3.1%
- PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE2.7%
- MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN0.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Pedro Jose Vasquez Diaz | 18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 20,321 | 51.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Eliecer David Martinez Ortega | 18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 14,292 | 35.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230003 · Emiro Rafael Ponnefz Ochoa | 20230003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 2,662 | 6.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PACTO HISTORICO · Fred De Jesus Torres Gutierrez | 20231615colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,225 | 3.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Omar Yesit Fonseca Gonzalez | 20180046colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,091 | 2.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN · Jaime Orlando Olmos Mantilla | 19900001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 180 | 0.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE EL CARMEN DE BOLIVAR-BOL. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - "PORQUE EL CARMEN DE BOLIVAR MERECE MAS"47.1%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO31.1%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO18.5%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE2.2%
- PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES1.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE EL CARMEN DE BOLIVAR-BOL. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - "PORQUE EL CARMEN DE BOLIVAR MERECE MAS" · Carlos Eduardo Torres Cohen | 20190390colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 17,163 | 47.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Eliecer David Martinez Ortega | 18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 11,352 | 31.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Omar Enrique Frieri Leiva | 18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 6,752 | 18.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Sandra Cecilia Salazar Redondo | 20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 820 | 2.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES · Jose Del Cristo Chamorro Torres | 20170001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 379 | 1% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS31.2%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO29.9%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U29.6%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI4.9%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE3.6%
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO0.3%
- MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO0.3%
- PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA0.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Rafael Gallo Paredes | 20130002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 10,210 | 31.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Omar Enrique Frieri Leiva | 18490002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 9,778 | 29.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Carlos Eduardo Torres Cohen | 20050002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 9,689 | 29.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Eliecer David Martinez Ortega | 19910006colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,589 | 4.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Ramon Alfonso Torres Serra | 20130001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,164 | 3.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Efrain Cabarcas Cabarcas | 20030001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 111 | 0.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Blanca Victoria Sabagh Garcia | 19910001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 107 | 0.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Blas Amarante Torres Martinez | 20090001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 44 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI29.960–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=15.159286917603275, oldest_gap=1.3214242016395445, previous_gap=15.935391871880658
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility37.38percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[51.09501898368158,35.9357320660783,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,12.969248950240123],[18.51587780398179,31.130368014040474,0,0,0,2.248669993966983,0,0,0,0,48.10508418801075],[29.909457971369143,0,29.63722011501285,0.3395326073657164,3.560504098862107,0,4.860516334271382,31.230882173008688,0,0.32729719809127616,0.13458950201884254]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility81.35percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[51.09501898368158,35.9357320660783,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,12.969248950240123],[18.51587780398179,31.130368014040474,0,0,0,2.248669993966983,0,0,0,0,48.10508418801075],[29.909457971369143,0,29.63722011501285,0.3395326073657164,3.560504098862107,0,4.860516334271382,31.230882173008688,0,0.32729719809127616,0.13458950201884254]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility59.37percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[51.09501898368158,35.9357320660783,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,12.969248950240123],[18.51587780398179,31.130368014040474,0,0,0,2.248669993966983,0,0,0,0,48.10508418801075],[29.909457971369143,0,29.63722011501285,0.3395326073657164,3.560504098862107,0,4.860516334271382,31.230882173008688,0,0.32729719809127616,0.13458950201884254]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “El Carmen De Bolivar — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-13244. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.