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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Cicuco — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Cicuco / Bolivar · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-13188

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Cicuco / Bolivar
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-6785053ae7115d6683f6446b
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO65.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U34.1%
  • CEDE party code 202300020.6%
Results for event-6e2b4ed68609f6f30ce2dc23
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Vladimir Stalin Granados Hurtado18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20235,37565.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Eleoth De Jesus Luna Torres20050002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,80634.1%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230002 · Benjamin Soraca Quevedo20230002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023500.6%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO41.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO36.0%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO22.0%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.4%
Results for event-b867096609bf8870a56b475b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jose Nicolas Ramos Pastrana18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,21641.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Vladimir Stalin Granados Hurtado18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,77836%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Jacid Nadime Turizo Soraca20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,69622%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Wilmar Enrique Perez Manjarres20050001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019290.4%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO48.8%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO38.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO13.1%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE0.0%
Results for event-eecc6f452c82abd773f743b2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Alberto Viloria Fajardo18480001colombia/S8164286948/20153,25848.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Wilber Anaya Soraca20030001colombia/S8164286948/20152,54138.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Vladimir Stalin Granados Hurtado19910001colombia/S8164286948/201587113.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Marlene Martinez Jimenez20130001colombia/S8164286948/201530%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=31.211274450249064, oldest_gap=10.744792447175179, previous_gap=5.674310143801016

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

58.34percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[65.30190742315636,0,34.0906329729073,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.6074596039363382],[41.663427905169065,35.98911776136805,0,21.9717579997409,0,0,0,0,0.3756963337219847,0,0],[0,48.82361756331485,0,38.07882511613967,0.04495729057395474,0,0,0,0,13.052600029971527,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

42.04percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[65.30190742315636,0,34.0906329729073,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.6074596039363382],[41.663427905169065,35.98911776136805,0,21.9717579997409,0,0,0,0,0.3756963337219847,0,0],[0,48.82361756331485,0,38.07882511613967,0.04495729057395474,0,0,0,0,13.052600029971527,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

50.19percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[65.30190742315636,0,34.0906329729073,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.6074596039363382],[41.663427905169065,35.98911776136805,0,21.9717579997409,0,0,0,0,0.3756963337219847,0,0],[0,48.82361756331485,0,38.07882511613967,0.04495729057395474,0,0,0,0,13.052600029971527,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Cicuco — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-13188. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.