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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Cantagallo — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Cantagallo / Bolivar · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-13160

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Cantagallo / Bolivar
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-82054b347dc830b4117b221c
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO50.9%
  • JUNTOS HACEMOS EQUIPO49.0%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI0.1%
Results for event-c559b0bd07f796431c0611d1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Omar Devanys Esparragoza Ponce18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,20250.9%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS HACEMOS EQUIPO · Reinaldis Gil Aleman20231379colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,08449%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Aldair Gomez Tolosa19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202360.1%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO46.9%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO46.7%
  • SOMOS CANTAGALLO - SOMOS CONSCIENTES5.3%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE1.0%
  • PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE0.2%
Results for event-5a13d250f762b489d2cc7cdb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Henio Ricardo Sarmiento Iglesias18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,52046.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Yaneth Esther Cortez Diaz18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,50646.7%UnknownRecorded
SOMOS CANTAGALLO - SOMOS CONSCIENTES · Pablo Joel Alcocer Isaza20190133colombia/S67eb704c85/20192835.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Jesus Antonio Vanegas Hernandez20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/2019521%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE · Raul Landinez Pinzon20180004colombia/S67eb704c85/201990.2%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO47.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO37.8%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO12.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS1.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U0.1%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE0.1%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI0.1%
Results for event-77f75fbfebd0c43ba57a4f6e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Herlides Arango Espalza18480001colombia/S8164286948/20151,99147.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Norbey Torres Rico19910001colombia/S8164286948/20151,59537.8%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Edgar Araque Suarez20050001colombia/S8164286948/201554212.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Yusneris Cuellar Perez20130002colombia/S8164286948/2015761.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Reinaldis Gil Aleman20050002colombia/S8164286948/201560.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · John Jairo Restrepo Dominguez20090002colombia/S8164286948/201550.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Jesus Antonio Vanegas Hernandez19910006colombia/S8164286948/201540.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

89.290–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.8753973299427855, oldest_gap=9.386110452713915, previous_gap=0.26070763500931093

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

46.67percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[50.89001907183725,0,0,0,0,0,0.09535918626827718,0,0,0,49.014621741894466],[46.927374301675975,46.666666666666664,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,6.405959031657356],[0,47.19127755392273,0.1422137947380896,0,0,0.11851149561507467,0.09480919649205972,1.8013747333491348,12.846646124674093,37.805167101208816,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

53.33percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[50.89001907183725,0,0,0,0,0,0.09535918626827718,0,0,0,49.014621741894466],[46.927374301675975,46.666666666666664,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,6.405959031657356],[0,47.19127755392273,0.1422137947380896,0,0,0.11851149561507467,0.09480919649205972,1.8013747333491348,12.846646124674093,37.805167101208816,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

50percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[50.89001907183725,0,0,0,0,0,0.09535918626827718,0,0,0,49.014621741894466],[46.927374301675975,46.666666666666664,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,6.405959031657356],[0,47.19127755392273,0.1422137947380896,0,0,0.11851149561507467,0.09480919649205972,1.8013747333491348,12.846646124674093,37.805167101208816,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Cantagallo — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-13160. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.