Office briefing
Calamar — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Calamar / Bolivar · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-13140
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Calamar / Bolivar
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-d998780e17e08e7c4facd87a
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO48.9%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO48.3%
- CEDE party code 202300062.1%
- POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.3%
- MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN0.2%
- CEDE party code 202300020.1%
- COALICION PARTIDISTA GSC AL SERVICIO DE LA GENTE-CAMBIO RADICAL0.1%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U0.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Yelitza Emperatriz Castellar Ruiz | 18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 7,187 | 48.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Alvaro Henry Acosta Forero | 18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 7,091 | 48.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230006 · Jaime Noriega Mier | 20230006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 304 | 2.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Edixon Antonio Herrera Sarmiento | 20050001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 38 | 0.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN · Jaime Eljaiek Barraza | 19900001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 34 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230002 · Hugo Reinaldo Rada Gamarra | 20230002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 20 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| COALICION PARTIDISTA GSC AL SERVICIO DE LA GENTE-CAMBIO RADICAL · Jorge Luis Ortiz Granados | 20230282colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 10 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Lorent Jose Reales Gomez | 20050002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 6 | 0% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE CALAMAR-BOL. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE38.2%
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO37.7%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI19.6%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE2.9%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO0.8%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U0.4%
- G.S.C GENTE FIRME0.2%
- MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS0.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE CALAMAR-BOL. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Alejandro Mario De Jesus Arrazola Sagbini | 20190132colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 5,065 | 38.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Alexander Enrique Ochoa Villalba | 20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 4,991 | 37.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Jorge Luis Ortiz Granados | 19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 2,598 | 19.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Raschid Farid Eljaiek Sagbini | 20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 389 | 2.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Juan Guillermo Hernandez Ospino | 18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 102 | 0.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Lester Concepcion Romero Mercado | 20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 54 | 0.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| G.S.C GENTE FIRME · Piedad Constancia Castellar Ospino | 20190131colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 32 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Wilson Ospino Iriarte | 20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 25 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO46.4%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U31.5%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO20.2%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE1.4%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO0.4%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE0.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Yesid Jassir Vergara | 20030001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 5,403 | 46.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Piedad Constancia Castellar Ospino | 20050002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 3,668 | 31.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Lester Concepcion Romero Mercado | 18480001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 2,345 | 20.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Mario Luis Guzman Cabarcas | 20130001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 159 | 1.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Sara Mercedes Villalba Molinares | 18490002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 51 | 0.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Liseth Consuelo Reales Vega | 20090002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 6 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI89.740–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.6535057862491485, oldest_gap=14.915749656121047, previous_gap=0.5582377791188904
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility96.68percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[48.27093260721579,48.92443839346494,0.04084411164057182,0,0,0,0,0,0.2586793737236215,0,2.5051055139550713],[0,0.7694628847314424,0.40736270368135186,37.65087507543754,2.9345202172601086,0,19.59867229933615,0.18859384429692214,0,0,38.450512975256494],[0.4384456671251719,20.15990371389271,31.53370013755158,46.44944979367263,1.3669188445667124,0.0515818431911967,0,0,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility59.81percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[48.27093260721579,48.92443839346494,0.04084411164057182,0,0,0,0,0,0.2586793737236215,0,2.5051055139550713],[0,0.7694628847314424,0.40736270368135186,37.65087507543754,2.9345202172601086,0,19.59867229933615,0.18859384429692214,0,0,38.450512975256494],[0.4384456671251719,20.15990371389271,31.53370013755158,46.44944979367263,1.3669188445667124,0.0515818431911967,0,0,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility78.24percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[48.27093260721579,48.92443839346494,0.04084411164057182,0,0,0,0,0,0.2586793737236215,0,2.5051055139550713],[0,0.7694628847314424,0.40736270368135186,37.65087507543754,2.9345202172601086,0,19.59867229933615,0.18859384429692214,0,0,38.450512975256494],[0.4384456671251719,20.15990371389271,31.53370013755158,46.44944979367263,1.3669188445667124,0.0515818431911967,0,0,0,0,0]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Calamar — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-13140. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.