Office briefing
Arjona — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Arjona / Bolivar · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-13052
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Arjona / Bolivar
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-5fff5f9589d511eecf694ecb
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- SENSIBILIDAD Y CONFIANZA POR UN ARJONA CON HECHOS Y NO PALABRAS29.0%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO23.9%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO19.2%
- PARTIDO POLITICO TODOS SOMOS COLOMBIA12.0%
- PACTO HISTORICO COLOMBIA PUEDE8.4%
- PARTIDO DE LA UNION POR LA GENTE PARTIDO DE LA U - PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO3.3%
- MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO1.9%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE1.0%
- MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA0.9%
- MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA0.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SENSIBILIDAD Y CONFIANZA POR UN ARJONA CON HECHOS Y NO PALABRAS · Gustavo Adolfo Perez Giraldo | 20231936colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 9,742 | 29% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Esther Maria Jalilie Garcia | 18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 8,027 | 23.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Rodrigo Enrique Guardo Reyes | 18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 6,455 | 19.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POLITICO TODOS SOMOS COLOMBIA · Edinson Rafael Martinez Rodriguez | 20170002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 4,026 | 12% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PACTO HISTORICO COLOMBIA PUEDE · Orlando Villadiego Arroyo | 20231623colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 2,824 | 8.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DE LA UNION POR LA GENTE PARTIDO DE LA U - PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO · Angelica Maria Villadiego Llerena | 20230269colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,095 | 3.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO · Leonel Guillermo Guardo Castaño | 19790001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 644 | 1.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Victor Domingo Guardo Pajaro | 20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 348 | 1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA · Jose Antonio Perez Castro | 19900002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 302 | 0.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Isai Jose Castilla Padilla | 19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 148 | 0.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U44.7%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO41.2%
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO7.3%
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE ARJONA-ATL. POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA - "VENGA ESA MANO PUEBLO"6.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Isaias Rafael Simancas Castro | 20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 14,945 | 44.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Rodrigo Enrique Guardo Reyes | 18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 13,763 | 41.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Sigifredo Enrique Tapia Buendia | 20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 2,424 | 7.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE ARJONA-ATL. POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA - "VENGA ESA MANO PUEBLO" · Orlando Villadiego Arroyo | 20190388colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 2,300 | 6.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO53.8%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO30.8%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI5.2%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE4.4%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO3.9%
- PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA1.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Esther Maria Jalilie Garcia | 20030001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 15,958 | 53.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Rodrigo Enrique Guardo Reyes | 18480001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 9,133 | 30.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Yuraima Margoth Madero Padilla | 19910006colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,541 | 5.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Liliana Beatriz Reyes Delgado | 20090002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,305 | 4.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Isaias Rafael Simancas Castro | 18490002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,163 | 3.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Orlando Villadiego Arroyo | 20090001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 573 | 1.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI67.890–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.102496206599028, oldest_gap=23.00070771408351, previous_gap=3.5355348169418477
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility69.24percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[19.20502216536253,23.88206242004106,0,0,0,1.0353753235547887,0,0,0,0,55.87754009104161],[0,41.167145250059825,44.70268006700167,7.2505384063173,0,0,0,0,0,0,6.879636276621201],[3.9193879958211166,30.77882249856772,0,53.77953021265123,0,4.397937518956628,5.193273346139589,0,0,0,1.9310484278637146]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility60.04percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[19.20502216536253,23.88206242004106,0,0,0,1.0353753235547887,0,0,0,0,55.87754009104161],[0,41.167145250059825,44.70268006700167,7.2505384063173,0,0,0,0,0,0,6.879636276621201],[3.9193879958211166,30.77882249856772,0,53.77953021265123,0,4.397937518956628,5.193273346139589,0,0,0,1.9310484278637146]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility64.64percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[19.20502216536253,23.88206242004106,0,0,0,1.0353753235547887,0,0,0,0,55.87754009104161],[0,41.167145250059825,44.70268006700167,7.2505384063173,0,0,0,0,0,0,6.879636276621201],[3.9193879958211166,30.77882249856772,0,53.77953021265123,0,4.397937518956628,5.193273346139589,0,0,0,1.9310484278637146]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Arjona — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-13052. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.