Office briefing
Arenal — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Arenal / Bolivar · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-13042
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Arenal / Bolivar
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-b6bc1b07cecf2dbae93d226c
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- VAMOS POR MAS52.0%
- CEDE party code 2023000524.6%
- FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO23.1%
- PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO0.2%
- MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA0.1%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE0.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAMOS POR MAS · Ramon Zayas Fonseca | 20232292colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 2,604 | 52% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230005 · Jose Luis Pacheco Escriva | 20230005colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,229 | 24.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO · Victor Manuel Campo Zambrano | 20150388colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,154 | 23.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO · Jader Sierra Peña | 19980003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 12 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Erick Fabian Herrera Garrido | 19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 4 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Eliseo Herrera Pacheco | 20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 3 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE ARENAL-BOL. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "ARENAL ADELANTE"74.8%
- PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES22.4%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO2.2%
- MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS0.5%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE ARENAL-BOL. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "ARENAL ADELANTE" · Eugenio Lobo Quiñonez | 20190387colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 3,030 | 74.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES · Enzo Leandro Pacheco Parada | 20170001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 909 | 22.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Enan Urquiza Rivera | 18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 91 | 2.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Milena Quiroz Jimenez | 20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 22 | 0.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA55.2%
- MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO39.4%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO5.4%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE0.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Jose Luis Pacheco Escriva | 20090001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 2,159 | 55.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Hector Rodelo Zayas | 19910001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,540 | 39.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Naunnini Peña Perez | 18490002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 210 | 5.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Wilmar Hernandez Jaimes | 20090002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 2 | 0.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=27.46703955253696, oldest_gap=15.827154180516494, previous_gap=52.34452122408687
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility2.79percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0.05992808629644426,0,0,0,0,99.94007191370356],[2.2458045409674234,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.5429417571569596,0,0,97.21125370187562],[5.369470723600102,0,0,0,0,0.05113781641523907,0,0,0,39.37611863973408,55.203272820250575]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility42.55percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0.05992808629644426,0,0,0,0,99.94007191370356],[2.2458045409674234,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.5429417571569596,0,0,97.21125370187562],[5.369470723600102,0,0,0,0,0.05113781641523907,0,0,0,39.37611863973408,55.203272820250575]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility22.67percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0.05992808629644426,0,0,0,0,99.94007191370356],[2.2458045409674234,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.5429417571569596,0,0,97.21125370187562],[5.369470723600102,0,0,0,0,0.05113781641523907,0,0,0,39.37611863973408,55.203272820250575]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Arenal — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-13042. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.