Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Soledad — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Soledad / Atlantico · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-08758

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Soledad / Atlantico
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-e703b72c6ab5bb606d6c53fb
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • ESTAMOS CON ALCIRA47.9%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO30.5%
  • CEDE party code 2023000314.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA2.9%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.8%
  • CEDE party code 202300010.8%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO TODOS SOMOS COLOMBIA0.7%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE0.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN0.3%
  • CEDE party code 202300040.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN0.2%
Results for event-3ab430044f45398a8459c8f4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ESTAMOS CON ALCIRA · Alcira Paola Sandoval Ibañez20231210colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202385,14547.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Jose Joao Herrera Iranzo20030001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202354,22130.5%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230003 · Elvira Patricia Gutierrez Hernandez20230003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202326,45114.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Nelson Nicanor Navarro Navarro19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20235,2152.9%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Carlos Alberto Ortiz Pacheco20050001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,5020.8%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230001 · Lidys Isabel Moreno De La Espriella20230001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,3670.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO TODOS SOMOS COLOMBIA · Oswaldo Rafael Sierra Ochoa20170002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,2270.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Jaime Eduardo Martinez Gonzalez20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,2210.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN · Jaiser Mendoza Palacio19900001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20236140.3%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230004 · Leonardo Rafael Pereira Guerrero20230004colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234840.3%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN · Nyle Jusquini Romero19900001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233200.2%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOLEDAD-ATL. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR34.9%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO29.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS24.1%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOLEDAD-ATL. PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE Y ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA ADA - "SOLEDAD ES NUESTRA CASA"2.8%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES2.6%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE2.6%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA2.3%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI1.0%
  • PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE0.3%
Results for event-7f8da8f694adc9ccb9b83f64
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOLEDAD-ATL. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR · Rodolfo Ucros Rosales20190404colombia/S67eb704c85/201957,43034.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · William Leonardo Torres Arcila20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/201948,67429.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Beatriz Barraza Parra20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/201939,69424.1%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SOLEDAD-ATL. PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE Y ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA ADA - "SOLEDAD ES NUESTRA CASA" · Carlos Humberto Gualdron Rivera20190385colombia/S67eb704c85/20194,6262.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES · William Franco Cervantes Lara20170001colombia/S67eb704c85/20194,2372.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Jaime Eduardo Martinez Gonzalez20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20194,2192.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA · Rafael Arcangel Palmera Crespo20190033colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,7702.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Fidel Plata Gutierrez19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,5881%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE · Saulo De Jesus Aristizabal Janica20180004colombia/S67eb704c85/20194630.3%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO49.7%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO38.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U5.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO1.9%
  • UNION PATRIOTICA - UP1.4%
  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA1.3%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO1.1%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI0.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO0.1%
Results for event-55f268c70bd8617b272302e7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Jose Joao Herrera Iranzo20030001colombia/S8164286948/201567,11149.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Rodolfo Ucros Rosales18490002colombia/S8164286948/201552,36538.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Ivan Gomez Alvarez20050002colombia/S8164286948/20157,5055.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Marlene Del Carmen Cera De Alba19910001colombia/S8164286948/20152,5761.9%UnknownRecorded
UNION PATRIOTICA - UP · Jesus Maria Turizo Rodelo19850001colombia/S8164286948/20151,9001.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Enrique Manuel Cumplido Rodriguez20090001colombia/S8164286948/20151,7971.3%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Oscar Manduca Baytev20050001colombia/S8164286948/20151,4581.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Retirado (A)19910006colombia/S8164286948/2015970.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Retirado (A)18480001colombia/S8164286948/2015900.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

34.370–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=17.395804620655127, oldest_gap=10.931141075916052, previous_gap=5.316300447477552

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.94percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,30.501161632923996,0,0.6868541405322698,0,0,0.844926223652309,0,67.96705800289142],[0,0,0,29.552947462371208,0,2.561611647773845,0.9641714379390532,24.100642983345576,0,0,42.82062646857032],[38.81793045167125,0.06671658055285806,5.563421522768887,49.749071527587304,0,0,0.07190564792919146,0,1.0808086049563006,1.909576794490693,2.7405688700435142]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

67.63percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,30.501161632923996,0,0.6868541405322698,0,0,0.844926223652309,0,67.96705800289142],[0,0,0,29.552947462371208,0,2.561611647773845,0.9641714379390532,24.100642983345576,0,0,42.82062646857032],[38.81793045167125,0.06671658055285806,5.563421522768887,49.749071527587304,0,0,0.07190564792919146,0,1.0808086049563006,1.909576794490693,2.7405688700435142]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.29percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,30.501161632923996,0,0.6868541405322698,0,0,0.844926223652309,0,67.96705800289142],[0,0,0,29.552947462371208,0,2.561611647773845,0.9641714379390532,24.100642983345576,0,0,42.82062646857032],[38.81793045167125,0.06671658055285806,5.563421522768887,49.749071527587304,0,0,0.07190564792919146,0,1.0808086049563006,1.909576794490693,2.7405688700435142]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Soledad — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-08758. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.