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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Santo Tomas — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Santo Tomas / Atlantico · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-08685

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Santo Tomas / Atlantico
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-aecf8a1e65c28c1dee8c09f6
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO38.3%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO31.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U19.5%
  • FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO5.0%
  • CEDE party code 202300012.0%
  • CEDE party code 202300061.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA1.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN0.4%
  • CEDE party code 202300050.2%
Results for event-72fd8856ae58327eaf32490a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Paula Hun Badillo18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20237,45138.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Nestor Manuel Mejia De La Hoz20030001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20236,19331.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Diego Armando Escorcia Bolaño20050002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,80019.5%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO · Clerck Daimeth Pertuz Caballero20150388colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20239765%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230001 · Ruben Dario Llanos Sarmiento20230001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233902%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230006 · Gabriel Agenor Torres Diaz20230006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233041.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Wilson Rafael Morales Ariza19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232081.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN · Efren Rafael Crescente Romero19900001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023840.4%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230005 · Armando Cesar Muñoz Salas20230005colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023360.2%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS50.7%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SANTO TOMAS-ATL. PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO LIBERAL - "UNA MUJER DE CONFIANZA"27.4%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO14.2%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO4.9%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO1.1%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE1.0%
  • PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE0.6%
Results for event-8b2584ba8dd261f3da10c3c9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Tomas Jose Guardiola Sarmiento20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/20199,37550.7%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SANTO TOMAS-ATL. PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO LIBERAL - "UNA MUJER DE CONFIANZA" · Dubys Isabel Barandica Del Villar20190384colombia/S67eb704c85/20195,06727.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Carlos Alberto Fernandez Nunez18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,62514.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Adolfo Enrique Fontalvo Molina20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/20198984.9%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Jacobo De Jesus Morales Fontalvo20050001colombia/S67eb704c85/20192081.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Ruben Dario Llanos Sarmiento20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/20191901%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE · Armando Cesar Muñoz Salas20180004colombia/S67eb704c85/20191190.6%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U57.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO26.2%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO10.8%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO1.8%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE1.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS1.1%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.8%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE0.6%
Results for event-737bc78e57e9e183ba181fc3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Luis Alberto Escorcia Castro20050002colombia/S8164286948/20159,87257.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Julio Jose Mejia Fontalvo18480001colombia/S8164286948/20154,48126.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Nestor Manuel Mejia De La Hoz18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151,84510.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Santos De Jesus Suarez Badillo20030001colombia/S8164286948/20153041.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Maria Rosalia Donado Badillo20090002colombia/S8164286948/20151891.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Moises Antonio Fontalvo Escorcia20130002colombia/S8164286948/20151891.1%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Armando Cesar Muñoz Salas20050001colombia/S8164286948/20151300.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Jose Alfredo Fruto Muriel20130001colombia/S8164286948/20151060.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

29.880–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.470527723485237, oldest_gap=31.496845057256373, previous_gap=23.309165674710528

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

84.86percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,38.324246476699926,19.545314268079416,31.85371875321469,0,0,0,0,0,0,10.276720502005968],[14.203008332431555,0,0,4.858781517151823,0,0,0,50.72502975868412,1.1254193269126718,0,29.087761064819823],[10.779387707408272,26.18018228558074,57.677027342837114,1.7761159149333956,0.6193035756017761,1.1042299602710914,0,1.1042299602710914,0.7595232530965179,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

85.58percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,38.324246476699926,19.545314268079416,31.85371875321469,0,0,0,0,0,0,10.276720502005968],[14.203008332431555,0,0,4.858781517151823,0,0,0,50.72502975868412,1.1254193269126718,0,29.087761064819823],[10.779387707408272,26.18018228558074,57.677027342837114,1.7761159149333956,0.6193035756017761,1.1042299602710914,0,1.1042299602710914,0.7595232530965179,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

85.22percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,38.324246476699926,19.545314268079416,31.85371875321469,0,0,0,0,0,0,10.276720502005968],[14.203008332431555,0,0,4.858781517151823,0,0,0,50.72502975868412,1.1254193269126718,0,29.087761064819823],[10.779387707408272,26.18018228558074,57.677027342837114,1.7761159149333956,0.6193035756017761,1.1042299602710914,0,1.1042299602710914,0.7595232530965179,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Santo Tomas — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-08685. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.