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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Sabanagrande — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Sabanagrande / Atlantico · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-08634

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Sabanagrande / Atlantico
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-85543d809130fef496140177
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U53.9%
  • FORJANDO EQUIDAD E INCLUSION PARA SABANAGRANDE43.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA1.8%
  • CEDE party code 202300010.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO0.4%
Results for event-899e309b512f9550023b57f5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Darwin Alexander Rosales Mora20050002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202310,28853.9%UnknownRecorded
FORJANDO EQUIDAD E INCLUSION PARA SABANAGRANDE · Sulay Yaneth Caro Charris20231239colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20238,22543.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Juan Manuel Pizarro Del Villar19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233511.8%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230001 · Luis Eduin Camargo Coronado20230001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231350.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO · Andres Jeronimo De La Cruz Diaz19790001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023800.4%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO51.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U29.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA9.1%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE8.4%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES0.8%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.2%
Results for event-c5a2b29ad6d0a56360774e8b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Gustavo Adolfo De La Rosa Berdejo18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20199,46051.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Darwin Alexander Rosales Mora20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/20195,42329.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Sulay Yaneth Caro Charris20180047colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,6589.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Javier Enrique Rodriguez Vasquez20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,5398.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES · Angel Ignacio Romero Fontalvo20170001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191490.8%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Antonio Maria Gutierrez Lara20050001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019330.2%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO43.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO38.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U17.6%
Results for event-bb890ca0505b626208c845a3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Jose Mario Romero Cahuana20030001colombia/S8164286948/20157,35043.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Jairo Eduardo De La Rosa De La Cruz18480001colombia/S8164286948/20156,53238.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Armando Rocha Insignares20050002colombia/S8164286948/20152,96417.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

31.970–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=10.81293568845328, oldest_gap=4.855752107325181, previous_gap=22.106012484941406

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

51.98percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,53.92316159127837,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,46.07683840872163],[0,51.80155514182455,29.695542656883145,0,0,0,0,0,0.18070309933194612,0,18.322199101960354],[0,38.77478333135463,17.59468122996557,43.63053543867981,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

43.63percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,53.92316159127837,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,46.07683840872163],[0,51.80155514182455,29.695542656883145,0,0,0,0,0,0.18070309933194612,0,18.322199101960354],[0,38.77478333135463,17.59468122996557,43.63053543867981,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.81percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,53.92316159127837,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,46.07683840872163],[0,51.80155514182455,29.695542656883145,0,0,0,0,0,0.18070309933194612,0,18.322199101960354],[0,38.77478333135463,17.59468122996557,43.63053543867981,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Sabanagrande — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-08634. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.