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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Repelon — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Repelon / Atlantico · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-08606

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Repelon / Atlantico
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-2cdcef30fc8f9caf2b86b9ec
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO45.6%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO27.7%
  • CEDE party code 2023000110.0%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI6.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA4.1%
  • CEDE party code 202300032.0%
  • PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD1.6%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE1.3%
  • PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO0.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA0.3%
  • CEDE party code 202300060.0%
Results for event-0a7ac76f72d5c18c55456eef
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Jorge Eliecer Reales Martinez18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20236,70245.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Evertt David Sarmiento Pernett20030001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,06327.7%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230001 · Miguel Angel Movilla Mendoza20230001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,47610%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Maria Alexandra Villa Solano19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20239896.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Vilma Maria Solano Oliveros20180047colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20236054.1%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230003 · Edinson Sarmiento Valencia20230003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232872%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD · Yeniser Solano Carrillo20200001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232411.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Janner De Jesus Ruiz Bayuelo20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231881.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO · Eduard Jose Cabarcas Sarmiento19980003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023910.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Marbel Luz Moreno Ruiz19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023440.3%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230006 · Enith Coba Ruiz20230006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202330%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO51.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS35.2%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO8.8%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI3.5%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE0.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U0.3%
Results for event-a72acafa5d8296e09acb754a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Eduardo Polo Mendoza18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20197,48251.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Cecilia Solet Carrillo Sarmiento20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/20195,07435.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Jairo Luis Ruiz Perez18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,2628.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Vidal Jacob Utria Parra19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/20195033.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Medardo Jesus Villacob Medrano20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019590.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Aristoteles Oliveros Barcasnegra20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019390.3%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO53.9%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO37.0%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U9.0%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE0.1%
Results for event-a93651664912b16019106438
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Enrique Antonio Escobar Ruiz20030001colombia/S8164286948/20156,77353.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Eduardo Polo Mendoza18490002colombia/S8164286948/20154,64537%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Aristoteles Oliveros Barcasnegra20050002colombia/S8164286948/20151,1249%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Lermes Enrrique Otero Cueto20090002colombia/S8164286948/2015150.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

12.580–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=17.965824766832323, oldest_gap=16.946722943378198, previous_gap=16.700187252930164

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

87.76percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,45.62597862345973,0,27.660153856627407,0,1.2798692899448567,6.732929402954592,0,0,0,18.701068827013412],[51.88986753589015,8.75234066162702,0.2704764546778556,0,0.4091823288716277,0,3.4884527359733686,35.18968028295998,0,0,0],[36.99131958270287,0,8.951182607310663,53.93804252608107,0,0.11945528390539141,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

62.74percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,45.62597862345973,0,27.660153856627407,0,1.2798692899448567,6.732929402954592,0,0,0,18.701068827013412],[51.88986753589015,8.75234066162702,0.2704764546778556,0,0.4091823288716277,0,3.4884527359733686,35.18968028295998,0,0,0],[36.99131958270287,0,8.951182607310663,53.93804252608107,0,0.11945528390539141,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

75.25percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,45.62597862345973,0,27.660153856627407,0,1.2798692899448567,6.732929402954592,0,0,0,18.701068827013412],[51.88986753589015,8.75234066162702,0.2704764546778556,0,0.4091823288716277,0,3.4884527359733686,35.18968028295998,0,0,0],[36.99131958270287,0,8.951182607310663,53.93804252608107,0,0.11945528390539141,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Repelon — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-08606. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.