Office briefing
Ponedera — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Ponedera / Atlantico · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-08560
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Known 2026-02-01 special/repeat event; final outcome and annulment/succession status remain unverified.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Ponedera / Atlantico
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-1d14c051878fe9fe72c10452
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2026-02-01
Repeated / replacement · Legal certification not established · unknown
2023-10-29
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE43.9%
- AVANCEMOS JUNTOS POR PONEDERA42.4%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE12.0%
- MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS1.8%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Aristarco Romero Meriño | 20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 6,791 | 43.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| AVANCEMOS JUNTOS POR PONEDERA · Vanesa Iliana Bolivar Martinez | 20230135colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 6,555 | 42.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Karen Vanessa Hernandez Herrera | 20130001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,851 | 12% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Marbel Luz Pertuz Charris | 20130002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 276 | 1.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019-10-27
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE PONEDERA-ATL. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO LIBERAL - "MAS ESPERANZA, MEJOR FUTURO"53.5%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO24.0%
- MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS22.3%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI0.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE PONEDERA-ATL. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO LIBERAL - "MAS ESPERANZA, MEJOR FUTURO" · Diana Carolina Martinez Forero | 20190382colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 7,422 | 53.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Hernando Julio Manotas Manotas | 18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 3,333 | 24% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Marbel Luz Pertuz Charris | 20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 3,096 | 22.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Edinson Jose Mozo Manotas | 19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 31 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
Other events (not selected cycles)
- 2015-10-25 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
WithheldUnknown0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Known 2026-02-01 special/repeat event; final outcome and annulment/succession status remain unverified.
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=29.455409883302117, previous_gap=1.5252375105021656
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,11.962773864150456,43.88935565178052,0,1.7837523427906676,0,0,42.364118141278354],[24.009508716323296,0,0,0,0,0,0.22331076213802045,22.30226192191327,0,0,53.46491859962541]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility55.85percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,11.962773864150456,43.88935565178052,0,1.7837523427906676,0,0,42.364118141278354],[24.009508716323296,0,0,0,0,0,0.22331076213802045,22.30226192191327,0,0,53.46491859962541]]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,11.962773864150456,43.88935565178052,0,1.7837523427906676,0,0,42.364118141278354],[24.009508716323296,0,0,0,0,0,0.22331076213802045,22.30226192191327,0,0,53.46491859962541]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Known 2026-02-01 special/repeat event; final outcome and annulment/succession status remain unverified. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
unresolved event · open
Actual-event sequence interrupted: Known special/repeated event joined; primary final certificate and relationship to ordinary return still pending. Competition/volatility not filled from an older event instead.
Sources
- Colombia: https://wapp.registraduria.gov.co/electoral/atipicas/ · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: RNEC special-election register, 2023–2026; public text capture · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Ponedera — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-08560. Sources: colombia--url-aba70c0f4462118b105baba0, colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--S6a212a80d3b0, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.