Office briefing
Palmar De Varela — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Palmar De Varela / Atlantico · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-08520
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Palmar De Varela / Atlantico
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-e50c858f86550991d055ba53
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO49.1%
- CEDE party code 2023000144.2%
- CEDE party code 202300024.1%
- MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA1.4%
- PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO1.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Jose Junior Rua Fontalvo | 20030001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 8,422 | 49.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230001 · Humberto Salim Raad Perez | 20230001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 7,580 | 44.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230002 · Leopoldo Ramon Gomez Hernandez | 20230002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 704 | 4.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Laider Manuel Juvinao Thomas | 19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 233 | 1.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO · Michel Rafael Acosta Bocanegra | 19980003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 203 | 1.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO54.0%
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE PALMAR DE VARELA-ATL. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "DESARROLLO SOCIAL CON SENTIDO HUMANO"45.2%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI0.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Galdino Rene Orozco Fontalvo | 18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 8,614 | 54% | Unknown | Recorded |
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE PALMAR DE VARELA-ATL. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "DESARROLLO SOCIAL CON SENTIDO HUMANO" · Humberto Salim Fontalvo Perez | 20190381colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 7,214 | 45.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Bella Rosa Reales Pertuz | 19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 138 | 0.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U50.8%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO47.3%
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO1.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Felix Alberto Fontalvo Avila | 20050002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 7,171 | 50.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Waldir Enrique Pertuz Lobo | 18490002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 6,686 | 47.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Oswaldo Antonio Martinez Llamas | 20030001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 264 | 1.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI70.390–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.9119122622797775, oldest_gap=3.434600948941288, previous_gap=8.768633345859953
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility54.82percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,49.13078987282697,0,0,0,0,0,0,50.86921012717303],[53.95214831516974,0,0,0,0,0,0.864336715520481,0,0,0,45.18351496930978],[47.347921535302035,0,50.78252248424332,1.869555980454642,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility52.65percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,49.13078987282697,0,0,0,0,0,0,50.86921012717303],[53.95214831516974,0,0,0,0,0,0.864336715520481,0,0,0,45.18351496930978],[47.347921535302035,0,50.78252248424332,1.869555980454642,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility53.73percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,49.13078987282697,0,0,0,0,0,0,50.86921012717303],[53.95214831516974,0,0,0,0,0,0.864336715520481,0,0,0,45.18351496930978],[47.347921535302035,0,50.78252248424332,1.869555980454642,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Palmar De Varela — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-08520. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.