Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Luruaco — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Luruaco / Atlantico · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-08421

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Luruaco / Atlantico
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-86f851891a1d6d1c8bff4aaf
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS46.1%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO24.7%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE16.0%
  • PACTO HISTORICO COLOMBIA8.6%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO2.1%
  • FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO1.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO1.0%
  • PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO0.1%
Results for event-63c106898863f4ff500e9b08
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Ameth Juan Hanna20130002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20238,17646.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Antonio Enrique Roa Montero20030001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,38524.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Luis Domingo Barraza Jimenez20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,83816%UnknownRecorded
PACTO HISTORICO COLOMBIA · Yeiner Angulo Gonzalez20231622colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,5238.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Julio Cesar Maldonado Ode18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233662.1%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO · Nelson Rafael Llanos Vega20150388colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232411.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO · Julio De Jesus Redondo Escobar19790001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231811%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO VERDE OXIGENO · Rayza Currea Urruchurto19980003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023200.1%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO53.6%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO45.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS0.5%
Results for event-12619798f147a00b1fba5ec8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Marly Ines Gutierrez Perez18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20199,16953.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Yamila Juan Hanna20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/20197,86545.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Humberto Segundo Currea Yepes20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019860.5%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO47.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U42.1%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO7.5%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE2.4%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE0.7%
Results for event-98ab62a6cb6720377e6a076f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Antonio Enrique Roa Montero20030001colombia/S8164286948/20157,23547.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Joaquin Pablo Redondo Rodriguez20050002colombia/S8164286948/20156,44642.1%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Marly Ines Gutierrez Perez20050001colombia/S8164286948/20151,1557.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Amalia Mercedes Rodriguez Manotas20130001colombia/S8164286948/20153602.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Lazaro Julio Ramirez Cervantes20090002colombia/S8164286948/20151130.7%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

21.850–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=21.381838691483363, oldest_gap=5.153831079757005, previous_gap=7.6168224299065415

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

74.77percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[2.0642978003384096,0,0,24.73209249858996,0,16.006768189509305,0,46.11393119007332,0,0,11.082910321489],[0,53.5572429906542,0,45.94042056074766,0,0,0,0.5023364485981309,0,0,0],[0,0,42.10595074792606,47.259781827683064,2.3515579071134627,0.7381278986217258,0,0,7.544581618655693,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

54.06percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[2.0642978003384096,0,0,24.73209249858996,0,16.006768189509305,0,46.11393119007332,0,0,11.082910321489],[0,53.5572429906542,0,45.94042056074766,0,0,0,0.5023364485981309,0,0,0],[0,0,42.10595074792606,47.259781827683064,2.3515579071134627,0.7381278986217258,0,0,7.544581618655693,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

64.41percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[2.0642978003384096,0,0,24.73209249858996,0,16.006768189509305,0,46.11393119007332,0,0,11.082910321489],[0,53.5572429906542,0,45.94042056074766,0,0,0,0.5023364485981309,0,0,0],[0,0,42.10595074792606,47.259781827683064,2.3515579071134627,0.7381278986217258,0,0,7.544581618655693,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Luruaco — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-08421. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.