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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Galapa — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Galapa / Atlantico · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-08296

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Galapa / Atlantico
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-e1382edf4c1a9ecf2be1935d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS50.3%
  • UNIDOS PODEMOS45.6%
  • INDEPENDIENTES2.7%
  • G.S.C LIGA DE GOBERNANTES ANTICORRUPCION1.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA0.2%
Results for event-cb9120a24279f0676ffea974
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Fabian Alberto Bonett Berdugo20130002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202314,78650.3%UnknownRecorded
UNIDOS PODEMOS · Carmiña Maria Navarro De La Hoz20150259colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202313,40945.6%UnknownRecorded
INDEPENDIENTES · Mauricio De Jesus Misol Yepes20190087colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20237962.7%UnknownRecorded
G.S.C LIGA DE GOBERNANTES ANTICORRUPCION · Guisell Elvira Bonilla De La Cruz20191578colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233421.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Jose Gregorio Gutierrez Paguena20180047colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023520.2%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE GALAPA-ATL. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "GALAPA A OTRO NIVEL"50.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS40.5%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE3.7%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE2.0%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE1.6%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA1.1%
  • PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE0.4%
Results for event-2af65aa7c1aeb6835c29af37
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE GALAPA-ATL. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "GALAPA A OTRO NIVEL" · Jose Fernando Vargas Muñoz20190406colombia/S67eb704c85/201912,36950.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Fabian Alberto Bonett Berdugo20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/20199,88540.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Alfredo De Jesus Ortiz Ortiz20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20199133.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Jairo Joaquin Avendaño Leyva20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20194872%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Rafael David Patiño Marenco20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/20193841.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA · Orlando Bernardo Romo Nieto20190033colombia/S67eb704c85/20192631.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE · Carlos Arturo Romero Rubiano20180004colombia/S67eb704c85/20191090.4%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO56.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U41.8%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO1.0%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.9%
Results for event-3c2a137fe376cd5984942408
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Jose Fernando Vargas Muñoz20030001colombia/S8164286948/201512,22456.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Regulo Pascual Matera Garcia20050002colombia/S8164286948/20159,08641.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Federman Polanco Klever18490002colombia/S8164286948/20152081%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Luis Carlos Oquendo Carrillo20050001colombia/S8164286948/20152050.9%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

63.450–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.6860643185298585, oldest_gap=14.44551857478249, previous_gap=10.176157312576812

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

9.82percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,50.31818955249277,0,0,49.68181044750724],[0,0,0,0,3.740270380991397,1.9950839819746007,0,40.49569848422777,0,0,53.76894715280623],[0.9575104727707959,0,41.82663536343967,56.27215393822216,0,0,0,0,0.943700225567371,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

100percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,50.31818955249277,0,0,49.68181044750724],[0,0,0,0,3.740270380991397,1.9950839819746007,0,40.49569848422777,0,0,53.76894715280623],[0.9575104727707959,0,41.82663536343967,56.27215393822216,0,0,0,0,0.943700225567371,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

54.91percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,50.31818955249277,0,0,49.68181044750724],[0,0,0,0,3.740270380991397,1.9950839819746007,0,40.49569848422777,0,0,53.76894715280623],[0.9575104727707959,0,41.82663536343967,56.27215393822216,0,0,0,0,0.943700225567371,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Galapa — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-08296. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.