Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Yondo-Casabe — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Yondo-Casabe / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05893

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Yondo-Casabe / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-69f0c22bfac9fb2b9ea534d7
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • YONDO AVANZA36.3%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO32.2%
  • UNIDOS EN LA TAREA16.7%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI10.5%
  • YONDO UNA NUEVA HISTORIA3.8%
  • INDEPENDIENTES0.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA0.1%
Results for event-85255709529d720f9b3f3a52
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
YONDO AVANZA · Yerson Antonio Ariza Rivera20232336colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,19536.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Gibert Cartagena Rojas18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,72632.2%UnknownRecorded
UNIDOS EN LA TAREA · William Skey Figueroa Mosquera20232162colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,93616.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Carlos Julio Toro Cortes19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,21010.5%UnknownRecorded
YONDO UNA NUEVA HISTORIA · Diego Alexander Cabezas Palencia20232337colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234353.8%UnknownRecorded
INDEPENDIENTES · Sergio Arboleda Baquero20190087colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023540.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA · Ana Mercedes Estrada Diaz19900002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202360.1%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE YONDO-ANT. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO DE LA U Y AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA AICO45.3%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE17.2%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO17.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO15.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA2.2%
  • PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE1.9%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES0.7%
Results for event-a926274e078d7bb27c5f2c20
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE YONDO-ANT. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO DE LA U Y AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA AICO · Fabian Antonio Echavarria Rangel20190125colombia/S67eb704c85/20194,27745.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · William Skey Figueroa Mosquera20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,62417.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Yerson Antonio Ariza Rivera20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,60017%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Monica Tatiana Gamarra Rodriguez18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,49215.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Myladis Morato Pedrozo20180047colombia/S67eb704c85/20192032.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE · Johana Milena Garcia Cordoba20180004colombia/S67eb704c85/20191761.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES · Damaris Maria Rodriguez Salcedo20170001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019620.7%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA28.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS24.3%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE YONDO. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U16.9%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI16.5%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO10.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO3.5%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO0.2%
Results for event-931f4207aa27cc21f7ebcb42
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Gibert Cartagena Rojas20090001colombia/S8164286948/20152,53428.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · William Skey Figueroa Mosquera20130002colombia/S8164286948/20152,17224.3%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE YONDO. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U · Ovidio Sanchez Duarte20150051colombia/S8164286948/20151,51116.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Fabian Antonio Echavarria Rangel19910006colombia/S8164286948/20151,47716.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Rosalia Solorzano Angulo20030001colombia/S8164286948/201590810.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Gladys Mancipe Cabezas19910001colombia/S8164286948/20153123.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jose Fernando Bravo Guzman18490002colombia/S8164286948/2015160.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

43.620–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.056391627746066, oldest_gap=4.053751399776036, previous_gap=28.12168751324995

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.88percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,32.226258432797096,0,0,0,0,10.465317419131638,0,0,0,57.30842414807127],[0,15.815136739453042,0,16.959932160271357,0,0,0,0,0,0,67.2249311002756],[0.1791713325867861,0,0,10.167973124300111,0,0,16.539753639417693,24.322508398656215,0,3.493840985442329,45.296752519596865]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

44.54percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,32.226258432797096,0,0,0,0,10.465317419131638,0,0,0,57.30842414807127],[0,15.815136739453042,0,16.959932160271357,0,0,0,0,0,0,67.2249311002756],[0.1791713325867861,0,0,10.167973124300111,0,0,16.539753639417693,24.322508398656215,0,3.493840985442329,45.296752519596865]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

35.71percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,32.226258432797096,0,0,0,0,10.465317419131638,0,0,0,57.30842414807127],[0,15.815136739453042,0,16.959932160271357,0,0,0,0,0,0,67.2249311002756],[0.1791713325867861,0,0,10.167973124300111,0,0,16.539753639417693,24.322508398656215,0,3.493840985442329,45.296752519596865]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Yondo-Casabe — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05893. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.