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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Urrao — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Urrao / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05847

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Urrao / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-0cb5b25bfee9b54af28e3152
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • TRABAJEMOS POR URRAO32.1%
  • SOMOS URRAO15.3%
  • POR URRAO CON AMOR Y PASION13.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA13.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO10.4%
  • COALICION PARTIDO DE LA U Y CONSERVADOR9.2%
  • PACTO HISTORICO3.9%
  • PRIMERO ES URRAO JOTA2.3%
  • CEDE party code 202300050.3%
Results for event-f279385ca436fdf61c576b8b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
TRABAJEMOS POR URRAO · Nilson Javier Barrera Holguin20232075colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,45132.1%UnknownRecorded
SOMOS URRAO · Jaime Eduardo Urrego Londoño20231992colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,64615.3%UnknownRecorded
POR URRAO CON AMOR Y PASION · Brahiam Yecid Caro Vargas20231791colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,42813.3%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA · Daniel Stiven Garzon Rodriguez19900002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,42413.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO · Jhon De Jesus Argaez Barrera19790001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,11410.4%UnknownRecorded
COALICION PARTIDO DE LA U Y CONSERVADOR · Driana Andrea Durango Benitez20230443colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20239899.2%UnknownRecorded
PACTO HISTORICO · Sergio Augusto Cardona Godoy20231615colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234233.9%UnknownRecorded
PRIMERO ES URRAO JOTA · John Jairo Vasquez Herron20231801colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232462.3%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230005 · Julio Alberto Jimenez Montoya20230005colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023370.3%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE43.2%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U19.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO11.7%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE URRAO-ANT. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "PASION POR URRAO"9.0%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI7.4%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE5.1%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO4.2%
Results for event-4950df51f359b12536a4c0d1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Jhon Jairo Higuita Rueda20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20194,72443.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Alvaro Salazar Herrera20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,12119.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Gildardo De Jesus Perez Moreno18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,28411.7%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE URRAO-ANT. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "PASION POR URRAO" · Luis Ernesto Velez Madrid20190365colombia/S67eb704c85/20199809%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Kenier Alexander Reyes Durango19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/20198147.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Luis Fernando Yepes Roldan20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/20195595.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Carlos Fernando Sierra Florez18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20194634.2%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • UNIDOS POR URRAO54.6%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE24.1%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO21.3%
Results for event-9a0fe219cdcb65de2d021141
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDOS POR URRAO · Herbert Henry Holguin Diaz20150045colombia/S8164286948/20155,29854.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Carlos Mario Trujillo Velez20130001colombia/S8164286948/20152,33724.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Jhon Jairo Higuita Rueda20030001colombia/S8164286948/20152,07221.3%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=16.778211563487638, oldest_gap=30.50376017307098, previous_gap=23.782549109182277

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[4.230242119689356,11.731384193695751,19.378711740520785,0,0,43.16126084970306,7.437185929648241,0,0,0,14.061215166742805],[0,0,0,21.345420830328628,24.075409498300196,0,0,0,0,0,54.579169671371176]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

85.94percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[4.230242119689356,11.731384193695751,19.378711740520785,0,0,43.16126084970306,7.437185929648241,0,0,0,14.061215166742805],[0,0,0,21.345420830328628,24.075409498300196,0,0,0,0,0,54.579169671371176]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[4.230242119689356,11.731384193695751,19.378711740520785,0,0,43.16126084970306,7.437185929648241,0,0,0,14.061215166742805],[0,0,0,21.345420830328628,24.075409498300196,0,0,0,0,0,54.579169671371176]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Urrao — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05847. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.