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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Tarso — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Tarso / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05792

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Tarso / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-c13526947293021745776fe3
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • EL TARSO QUE QUEREMOS48.3%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO31.6%
  • CEDE party code 2023000420.1%
Results for event-1c2811bde662e533c7508a3f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
EL TARSO QUE QUEREMOS · Hugo Alexander Ocampo Rios20231157colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,97748.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Luz Estella Cano Marin18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,29431.6%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230004 · Leon Jairo Alzate Ruiz20230004colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202382120.1%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE TARSO-ANT. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "TARSO, BIENESTAR Y PROGRESO PARA TODOS"53.0%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE TARSO-ANT. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO DE LA U47.0%
Results for event-4e829c79e054c86010d8f9c8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE TARSO-ANT. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "TARSO, BIENESTAR Y PROGRESO PARA TODOS" · Fredy Alberto Hurtado Perez20190538colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,10353%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE TARSO-ANT. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO DE LA U · Victor Manuel Gonzalez Betancur20190122colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,86247%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE TARSO. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR57.9%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE TARSO. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U42.1%
Results for event-8b556896ead7287fe66c8059
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE TARSO. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR · Nestor Fernando Romero Villada20150041colombia/S8164286948/20152,11657.9%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE TARSO. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U · Fredy Alberto Hurtado Perez20150042colombia/S8164286948/20151,53842.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

32.90–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=16.6911045943304, oldest_gap=15.818281335522713, previous_gap=6.078184110970994

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,31.622678396871944,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,68.37732160312805],null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,31.622678396871944,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,68.37732160312805],null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,31.622678396871944,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,68.37732160312805],null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Tarso — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05792. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.