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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Santa Rosa De Osos — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Santa Rosa De Osos / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05686

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Santa Rosa De Osos / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-ea6ab9cd7b9f2578813edecf
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U24.4%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO19.9%
  • CREEMOS17.8%
  • CEDE party code 2023000116.0%
  • POR SANTA ROSA DE OSOS15.7%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE6.2%
Results for event-4e7cdce747f2b3ac8c68ae67
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Luis Bernardo Molina Granda20050002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,54324.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jose Ignacio Gonzalez Cardona18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,89219.9%UnknownRecorded
CREEMOS · Mauricio Barrientos Osorio20150003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,58117.8%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230001 · Felix Olmedo Arango Correa20230001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,32116%UnknownRecorded
POR SANTA ROSA DE OSOS · Maria Del Carmen Roldan Arango20231760colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,28315.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Yovany Alexander Alvarez Correa20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20239006.2%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE41.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U24.0%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO23.2%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE6.1%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI3.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS1.9%
Results for event-2cdf21379f329099ce8e08e5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Carlos Alberto Posada Zapata20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20196,15941.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Luis Bernardo Molina Granda20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,57924%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Francisco Jair Palacio Lopera18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,45523.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Yovany Alexander Alvarez Correa20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20199066.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · William Alejandro Vergara Perez19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/20195243.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Oscar Mario Balbin Perez20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/20192771.9%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS51.0%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO31.7%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE15.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO1.7%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U0.2%
Results for event-bbfcbae6f3d10889f01f5d18
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Maria Del Carmen Roldan Arango20130002colombia/S8164286948/20157,27951%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Marta Cecilia Ramirez Orrego18490002colombia/S8164286948/20154,53331.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Carlos Alberto Posada Zapata20130001colombia/S8164286948/20152,20315.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Jesus Emiro Del Rio Lopera18480001colombia/S8164286948/20152441.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Revocado (A)20050002colombia/S8164286948/2015240.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

50.960–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.483471074380166, oldest_gap=19.225652874046066, previous_gap=17.31543624161074

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

49.98percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[19.917355371900825,0,24.40082644628099,0,0,6.198347107438017,0,0,0,0,49.48347107438016],[23.187919463087248,0,24.02013422818792,0,41.33557046979866,6.080536912751678,3.5167785234899327,1.8590604026845639,0,0,0],[31.737030035706784,1.7083245816705175,0.16803192606595252,0,15.423930546803893,0,0,50.96268290975285,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

59.36percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[19.917355371900825,0,24.40082644628099,0,0,6.198347107438017,0,0,0,0,49.48347107438016],[23.187919463087248,0,24.02013422818792,0,41.33557046979866,6.080536912751678,3.5167785234899327,1.8590604026845639,0,0,0],[31.737030035706784,1.7083245816705175,0.16803192606595252,0,15.423930546803893,0,0,50.96268290975285,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

54.67percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[19.917355371900825,0,24.40082644628099,0,0,6.198347107438017,0,0,0,0,49.48347107438016],[23.187919463087248,0,24.02013422818792,0,41.33557046979866,6.080536912751678,3.5167785234899327,1.8590604026845639,0,0,0],[31.737030035706784,1.7083245816705175,0.16803192606595252,0,15.423930546803893,0,0,50.96268290975285,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Santa Rosa De Osos — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05686. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.