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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Santa Barbara — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Santa Barbara / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05679

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Santa Barbara / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-d8f8ecc2ed24ef44b50badd1
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARA VOLVER A CREER53.1%
  • CREEMOS38.4%
  • TODO ES POSIBLE7.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO1.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS0.1%
Results for event-b6435fec742dee3ef6e595a2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARA VOLVER A CREER · Jorge Mario Quintana Cañaveral20150249colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20236,50953.1%UnknownRecorded
CREEMOS · Julio Cesar Ospina Lopez20150003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,70538.4%UnknownRecorded
TODO ES POSIBLE · Hernan Alberto Bedoya Sanchez20232030colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20238877.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO · Didier Leon Ocampo Cuervo19790001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231421.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Jairo De Jesus Suarez Rios20130002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023170.1%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SANTA BARBARA-ANT. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - "UNIDOS POR EL CAMBIO"53.4%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SANTA BARBARA-ANT. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "CONSTRUYAMOS FUTURO"42.3%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO3.8%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA0.5%
Results for event-ec7b95c7136a19be858b9fb8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SANTA BARBARA-ANT. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - "UNIDOS POR EL CAMBIO" · Luis Fernando Tangarife Cardona20190526colombia/S67eb704c85/20196,58253.4%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SANTA BARBARA-ANT. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "CONSTRUYAMOS FUTURO" · Jorge Mario Quintana Cañaveral20190527colombia/S67eb704c85/20195,21042.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Gilberto De Jesus Cardona Cardona18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20194733.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA · Jesus Huber Villada Villada20190033colombia/S67eb704c85/2019610.5%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO41.2%
  • SANTA BARBARA COMPROMISO DE TODOS39.1%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO16.5%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO3.1%
Results for event-61ca46fe2c7ff3204660bd40
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Monica Maria Ocampo Restrepo18480001colombia/S8164286948/20154,92441.2%UnknownRecorded
SANTA BARBARA COMPROMISO DE TODOS · Luis Fernando Tangarife Cardona20150037colombia/S8164286948/20154,67539.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Maria Celia Roman Quintero20030001colombia/S8164286948/20151,97116.5%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Jose Pompilio Zapata Zapata20050001colombia/S8164286948/20153733.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

38.120–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=14.714518760195752, oldest_gap=2.0849032906304927, previous_gap=11.130942722699984

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

3.84percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13866231647634583,0,0,99.86133768352366],[3.8374168424468604,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,96.16258315755313],[0,41.229171899857654,0,16.503391107761868,0,0,0,0,3.1231683831533115,0,39.14426860922716]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

60.86percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13866231647634583,0,0,99.86133768352366],[3.8374168424468604,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,96.16258315755313],[0,41.229171899857654,0,16.503391107761868,0,0,0,0,3.1231683831533115,0,39.14426860922716]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.35percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13866231647634583,0,0,99.86133768352366],[3.8374168424468604,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,96.16258315755313],[0,41.229171899857654,0,16.503391107761868,0,0,0,0,3.1231683831533115,0,39.14426860922716]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Santa Barbara — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05679. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.