Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

San Jeronimo — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · San Jeronimo / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05656

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
San Jeronimo / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-e908b799ece6a1ce4a71af4a
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • JUNTOS HACEMOS MAS62.0%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE28.8%
  • CREEMOS4.5%
  • CEDE party code 202300051.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO1.5%
  • INDEPENDIENTES0.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA0.8%
Results for event-44df3056d2ac0f86a41ecb0e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JUNTOS HACEMOS MAS · Donaldo Fernan Vivares Gallego20231381colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,81562%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Luis Alberto Pulgarin Cano20130001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,23928.8%UnknownRecorded
CREEMOS · Olga Lucia Ospina20150003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233534.5%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230005 · Pedro Nel Ruiz Alvarez20230005colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231261.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO · Orson Francisco Ramirez Agudelo19790001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231131.5%UnknownRecorded
INDEPENDIENTES · Lucina Amparo Gonzalez20190087colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023630.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Aurelio Carmona Villa19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023590.8%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SAN JERONIMO-ANT. PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - "SIGAMOS CRECIENDO"51.9%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE36.4%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SAN JERONIMO-ANT. MOVIMIENTO MAIS Y PARTIDO AICO - "BIEN POR SAN JERONIMO"11.7%
Results for event-62679f7197f33e29243e4d42
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SAN JERONIMO-ANT. PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - "SIGAMOS CRECIENDO" · Mauricio Andres Velasquez Serna20190520colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,98151.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Luis Alberto Pulgarin Cano20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,79336.4%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SAN JERONIMO-ANT. MOVIMIENTO MAIS Y PARTIDO AICO - "BIEN POR SAN JERONIMO" · Andres Felipe Delgado Osorio20190521colombia/S67eb704c85/201989811.7%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SAN JERONIMO. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - EL CAMBIO ES AHORA39.3%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE38.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U22.3%
Results for event-68fd7c1ba2e4d81a2344fbaa
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SAN JERONIMO. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - EL CAMBIO ES AHORA · Donaldo Fernan Vivares Gallego20150034colombia/S8164286948/20152,73439.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Andres Felipe Delgado Osorio20130001colombia/S8164286948/20152,67138.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Jose Fernando Suarez Osorio20050002colombia/S8164286948/20151,54822.3%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=33.161688980432544, oldest_gap=0.9060837048755985, previous_gap=15.48488008342023

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

7.58percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,28.823377960865088,0,0,0,0,0,71.1766220391349],[0,0,0,0,36.40510948905109,0,0,0,0,0,63.5948905109489],[0,0,22.263771034086005,0,38.4150726305192,0,0,0,0,0,39.3211563353948]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

24.27percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,28.823377960865088,0,0,0,0,0,71.1766220391349],[0,0,0,0,36.40510948905109,0,0,0,0,0,63.5948905109489],[0,0,22.263771034086005,0,38.4150726305192,0,0,0,0,0,39.3211563353948]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

15.93percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,28.823377960865088,0,0,0,0,0,71.1766220391349],[0,0,0,0,36.40510948905109,0,0,0,0,0,63.5948905109489],[0,0,22.263771034086005,0,38.4150726305192,0,0,0,0,0,39.3211563353948]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “San Jeronimo — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05656. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.