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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Salgar — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Salgar / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05642

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Salgar / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-eec9c9086c1547262db6ad14
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • ES EL MOMENTO SALGAR35.1%
  • SALGAR CREE Y CRECE29.6%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE23.1%
  • SALGAR MI COMPROMISO ES CONTIGO12.2%
Results for event-ea851e139a10c602c683a776
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ES EL MOMENTO SALGAR · Victor Raul Maya Ceballos20231200colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,40335.1%UnknownRecorded
SALGAR CREE Y CRECE · Juan Alexander Gallego Cataño20231894colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,02629.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Juan David Betancur Henao20130001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,58123.1%UnknownRecorded
SALGAR MI COMPROMISO ES CONTIGO · Nancy Elena Sanchez Grajales20231896colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202383712.2%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE SALGAR-ANT. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "SALGAR EN BUENAS MANOS"47.2%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO32.2%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO15.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS4.4%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.8%
Results for event-016b80dc4c030fe1cfa7acbb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE SALGAR-ANT. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "SALGAR EN BUENAS MANOS" · Carlos Andres Londoño Velez20190516colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,87247.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Victor Raul Maya Ceballos18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,95832.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Juan Alexander Gallego Cataño18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/201993815.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Victor Raul Diaz Gallego20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/20192694.4%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Divo Franco Santo Domingo20050001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019500.8%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO40.5%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE31.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U20.6%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO4.2%
  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA1.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS1.2%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.1%
Results for event-9b651de0ee9a0c2daef9d241
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Carlos Emel Cuervo Cañola18480001colombia/S8164286948/20152,19440.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Carlos Andres Londoño Velez20130001colombia/S8164286948/20151,71331.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Wilmar De Jesus Perez Arredondo20050002colombia/S8164286948/20151,11520.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Raul Antonio Alvarez Arango18490002colombia/S8164286948/20152254.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Jose Ignacio Ruiz Gomez20090001colombia/S8164286948/20151021.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Divo Franco Santodomingo20130002colombia/S8164286948/2015631.2%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Luis Guillermo Cuartas Fernandez20050001colombia/S8164286948/201540.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

56.520–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.506061048634436, oldest_gap=8.881093057607089, previous_gap=15.015607031378352

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

52.82percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,23.09040455674018,0,0,0,0,0,76.90959544325982],[32.1669130934779,15.409889929357647,0,0,0,0,0,4.419254148184656,0.821422704123542,0,47.182520124856254],[4.154357459379616,40.5096011816839,20.58714918759232,0,31.62850812407681,0,0,1.1632200886262924,0.07385524372230429,0,1.8833087149187593]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

77.32percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,23.09040455674018,0,0,0,0,0,76.90959544325982],[32.1669130934779,15.409889929357647,0,0,0,0,0,4.419254148184656,0.821422704123542,0,47.182520124856254],[4.154357459379616,40.5096011816839,20.58714918759232,0,31.62850812407681,0,0,1.1632200886262924,0.07385524372230429,0,1.8833087149187593]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

65.07percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,23.09040455674018,0,0,0,0,0,76.90959544325982],[32.1669130934779,15.409889929357647,0,0,0,0,0,4.419254148184656,0.821422704123542,0,47.182520124856254],[4.154357459379616,40.5096011816839,20.58714918759232,0,31.62850812407681,0,0,1.1632200886262924,0.07385524372230429,0,1.8833087149187593]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Salgar — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05642. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.