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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Sabanalarga — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Sabanalarga / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05628

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Sabanalarga / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-d8c31dcd6f14a81b05d01ea5
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO45.5%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE43.9%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO10.6%
Results for event-4e66c24d89f7042d832a94fb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Cesar Alonso Cuadros George18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,59545.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Luis Alfonso Henao Naranjo20130001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,50643.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Milvia Farney Munera Rodriguez18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202360310.6%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE36.8%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO31.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO30.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO1.6%
Results for event-7322cdc749ccbbe1d6e2ddfe
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Morel Alonso Mazo Gutierrez20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,92636.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Aicardo De Jesus Mazo Areiza18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,62431%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Luis Arturo Jaramillo Moreno18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,60530.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Francisco Luis Urrego Moreno19910001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019831.6%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO41.3%
  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA37.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO19.5%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE1.8%
Results for event-377a361349e2c83cdfff0d0f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Cesar Alonso Cuadros George18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151,96341.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Morel Antonio Mazo Munera20090001colombia/S8164286948/20151,77937.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Luis Arturo Jaramillo Moreno18480001colombia/S8164286948/201592519.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Francisco Luis Urrego Moreno20130001colombia/S8164286948/2015861.8%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

84.740–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.5603085553997218, oldest_gap=3.8712392173364236, previous_gap=5.765559373806795

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

21.65percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[45.49438990182328,10.571528751753156,0,0,43.93408134642356,0,0,0,0,0,0],[31.004200076365024,30.64146620847652,0,0,36.76975945017182,0,0,0,0,1.5845742649866361,0],[41.3002314327793,19.4613928045445,0,0,1.8093835472333264,0,0,0,0,0,37.428992215442875]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.73percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[45.49438990182328,10.571528751753156,0,0,43.93408134642356,0,0,0,0,0,0],[31.004200076365024,30.64146620847652,0,0,36.76975945017182,0,0,0,0,1.5845742649866361,0],[41.3002314327793,19.4613928045445,0,0,1.8093835472333264,0,0,0,0,0,37.428992215442875]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

34.69percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[45.49438990182328,10.571528751753156,0,0,43.93408134642356,0,0,0,0,0,0],[31.004200076365024,30.64146620847652,0,0,36.76975945017182,0,0,0,0,1.5845742649866361,0],[41.3002314327793,19.4613928045445,0,0,1.8093835472333264,0,0,0,0,0,37.428992215442875]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Sabanalarga — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05628. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.