Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Puerto Berrio — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Puerto Berrio / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05579

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Puerto Berrio / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-cbc5079bc7b4da7561f29522
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • CERCANO A LA GENTE25.4%
  • JUNTOS POR LA GENTE22.7%
  • PUERTO BERRIO AVANZA19.6%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI9.9%
  • PACTO HISTORICO9.4%
  • EL VERDADERO CAMBIO ES YA9.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN1.7%
  • CEDE party code 202300061.1%
  • CEDE party code 202300030.4%
  • INDEPENDIENTES0.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO0.2%
Results for event-04a79f8b62c2f91fb157943d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CERCANO A LA GENTE · Robinson Alberto Baena Zuluaga20230218colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,24625.4%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR LA GENTE · Ivan Dario Laguna Zapata20231405colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,79022.7%UnknownRecorded
PUERTO BERRIO AVANZA · Jaime Andres Cañas Morales20231818colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,26919.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Andres Mauricio Cardenas19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,6609.9%UnknownRecorded
PACTO HISTORICO · Pastor Lisandro Alape Lascarro20231615colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,5729.4%UnknownRecorded
EL VERDADERO CAMBIO ES YA · Yimar Harlei Asprilla Borja20231160colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,5399.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN · Manuel Salvador Serna Cano19900001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232821.7%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230006 · Jose Angel Mesa Pulgarin20230006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231871.1%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230003 · Gustavo Alberto Renteria Berrio20230003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023660.4%UnknownRecorded
INDEPENDIENTES · Juan David Ochoa Muñoz20190087colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023620.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO · Wilson Gomez Grajales19790001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023370.2%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE PUERTO BERRIO-ANT. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - MOVIMIENTO MAIS Y PARTIDO AICO44.5%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE PUERTO BERRIO-ANT. ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA ADA Y PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA PRE - "UNIDOS PODEMOS MAS POR PUERTO BERRIO"39.1%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO7.0%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO3.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO2.5%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES1.5%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE1.4%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI0.2%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA0.2%
Results for event-1e446e09cc63a157d2c90fc4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE PUERTO BERRIO-ANT. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - MOVIMIENTO MAIS Y PARTIDO AICO · Gustavo Ernesto Medina Zapata20190509colombia/S67eb704c85/20197,19044.5%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE PUERTO BERRIO-ANT. ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA ADA Y PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA PRE - "UNIDOS PODEMOS MAS POR PUERTO BERRIO" · Robinson Alberto Baena Zuluaga20190508colombia/S67eb704c85/20196,31639.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Juan David Ochoa Muñoz20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,1377%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Jorge Luis Muñoz20050001colombia/S67eb704c85/20195903.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Luis Oswaldo Ibañez Florez18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20194122.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES · Nora Del Socorro Lopez Cuartas20170001colombia/S67eb704c85/20192461.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Maria Etelvina Morales20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/20192191.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Jose Farid Narvaez Perdomo19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/2019280.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA HUMANA Y UNION PATRIOTICA · Jose Angel Mesa Pulgarin20190033colombia/S67eb704c85/2019280.2%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO52.8%
  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA26.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS9.6%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO6.7%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE4.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO0.3%
Results for event-831e3490971c6a7c6c315dca
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Jaime Andres Cañas Morales20030001colombia/S8164286948/20158,11452.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Ever Robinson Vergara20090001colombia/S8164286948/20154,08426.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Luis Carlos Delgado Cano20130002colombia/S8164286948/20151,4779.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Julian Ramiro Arboleda Maya18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151,0296.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Jorge Alberto Rojas Clavijo20130001colombia/S8164286948/20156194%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Luis Oswaldo Ibañez Florez18480001colombia/S8164286948/2015530.3%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

70.60–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.7289048473967696, oldest_gap=26.20967741935484, previous_gap=5.406408511691204

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.23percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,9.934171154997008,0,0,0,90.06582884500298],[0,2.548558703451689,0,7.03327972287517,0,0,0.17320301868118274,0,3.6496350364963503,0,86.5953235184956],[6.692247658688866,0.3446930280957336,0,52.77055150884495,4.025754422476587,0,0,9.605879292403745,0,0,26.560874089490113]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

66.06percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,9.934171154997008,0,0,0,90.06582884500298],[0,2.548558703451689,0,7.03327972287517,0,0,0.17320301868118274,0,3.6496350364963503,0,86.5953235184956],[6.692247658688866,0.3446930280957336,0,52.77055150884495,4.025754422476587,0,0,9.605879292403745,0,0,26.560874089490113]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

39.65percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,9.934171154997008,0,0,0,90.06582884500298],[0,2.548558703451689,0,7.03327972287517,0,0,0.17320301868118274,0,3.6496350364963503,0,86.5953235184956],[6.692247658688866,0.3446930280957336,0,52.77055150884495,4.025754422476587,0,0,9.605879292403745,0,0,26.560874089490113]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Puerto Berrio — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05579. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.